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Debate House Prices


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RICS Report

http://www.rics.org/site/download_feed.aspx?fileID=11611&fileExtension=PDF
The February 2012 RICS Housing Market Survey provides further evidence that the price trend for residential property at the national level appears to be stabilising although from a regional perspective, the London market continues to stand out as being particularly buoyant. The better tone to the activity and confidence data remains intact, although anecdotal evidence
from surveyors suggests this is being driven in part by temporary factors i.e. the expiration of the first-time buyer stamp duty exemption in March.

However, the fact that near term expectations have not receded and longer term price expectations are improving suggests other, more fundamental factors are also beginning to play a role in influencing the market, most notably a perception that the downside risk to the economy may have lessened.

Significantly, while the (seasonally adjusted) net price balance remained in negative territory in February at -13 i.e. 13% more surveyors recorded price falls rather than rises, the data that underpins the price balance points to a generally flat picture. Some 68% of surveyors reported no change in prices
(the highest proportion since March 2010) and of those surveyors reporting price falls, 84% of them are doing so within the 0 to -2% range.

About what we expected I guess.
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Comments

  • chewmylegoff
    chewmylegoff Posts: 11,469 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Just to save everyone else doing it i will make the perrenial points that are always made on these threads:

    1: "Bull" - excellent news, this shows that 87% of surveyors report prices as stable or rising. buy buy buy.

    2: "Bear" - excellent news, this shows that 81% of surveyors report prices as flat or falling. timber.
  • nollag2006
    nollag2006 Posts: 2,638 Forumite
    Rinoa wrote: »


    Really is good to see more evidence of green shoots coming through in the rest of the country.

    Here in London, house prices and rents have been ticking up nicely since the crash ended in early 2009
  • CRASH_BANG_WALLOP
    CRASH_BANG_WALLOP Posts: 661 Forumite
    edited 13 March 2012 at 1:40PM
    nollag2006 wrote: »
    Really is good to see more evidence of green shoots coming through in the rest of the country.

    what green shoots dude?
    "Regionally, London was again the only part of the country to see prices increase, while surveyors in the West Midlands and Northern Ireland saw the least positive readings," Collett said.
    Maidstone Prices - average reductions at 8.5% (£19,668) Feb 2012 - We thought the dudes were not allowed to drop prices?
  • The national price balance is less negative.

    This turd is less smelly.

    The (downward) trend seems to be stabilising.

    There is a general improvement in 'tone' to 'the survey' though.
    1. The house price crash will begin.
    2. There will be a dead cat bounce.
    3. The second leg down will commence.
    4. I will buy your house for a song.
This discussion has been closed.
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