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Debate House Prices


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The home buyer smells blood

For such an august title, one might have hoped for a better analysis.
Richard Northedge has got it half right

On the question of affordability, Richard Northedge's thinking is dangerously flawed.
Since property prices peaked in 2007, average mortgage rates have fallen from 5.84 to 3.85 per cent but it is possible to find a two-year fixed loan at just 2.39 per cent for buyers with a 30 per cent deposit.
.
Mortgages are like dogs. When you get a puppy, you sign up to a 20 year commitment. Mortgage affordability needs to take account of rates in 5, 10 or 15 years time, not just the next two years. If you can only just afford 3.85%, you are going to lose your shirt when rates move back up again.

On the question of sentiment Richard Northedge is right.
Now prices have fallen people can afford a home – but who wants to purchase an asset that is falling in value?
The buying market have smelled blood.

http://dofonline.co.uk/blogs/the-edge/mortgages/houses-are-affordable-4565465454/

On a completely unrelated matter, this made me laugh:
Moreover, we realized after our article had been published that major parts of the text had been plagiarized almost verbatim from Colombo et al.
http://jcm.asm.org/cgi/content/full/49/3/1193

Comments

  • macaque wrote: »
    On a completely unrelated matter, this made me laugh:


    http://jcm.asm.org/cgi/content/full/49/3/1193

    Ah, I do love a good retraction - especially when they occur in flagship journals vying for Impact Factor ratings.
  • robmatic
    robmatic Posts: 1,217 Forumite
    macaque wrote: »
    Mortgages are like dogs. When you get a puppy, you sign up to a 20 year commitment. Mortgage affordability needs to take account of rates in 5, 10 or 15 years time, not just the next two years. If you can only just afford 3.85%, you are going to lose your shirt when rates move back up again.

    If you can only just afford 3.85%, you are probably going to struggle paying rent right now.
  • michaels
    michaels Posts: 29,261 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    If you can only just afford 3.85%...why not take one of the 5 year 3.39% fixes currently available?
    robmatic wrote: »
    If you can only just afford 3.85%, you are probably going to struggle paying rent right now.
    I think....
  • macaque wrote: »
    .....Mortgages are like dogs....

    ...because a house if for life, not just for Christmas.
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