We’d like to remind Forumites to please avoid political debate on the Forum.

This is to keep it a safe and useful space for MoneySaving discussions. Threads that are – or become – political in nature may be removed in line with the Forum’s rules. Thank you for your understanding.

Debate House Prices


In order to help keep the Forum a useful, safe and friendly place for our users, discussions around non MoneySaving matters are no longer permitted. This includes wider debates about general house prices, the economy and politics. As a result, we have taken the decision to keep this board permanently closed, but it remains viewable for users who may find some useful information in it. Thank you for your understanding.
📨 Have you signed up to the Forum's new Email Digest yet? Get a selection of trending threads sent straight to your inbox daily, weekly or monthly!

Salary increases keeping up with RPI since 2007. As it happens.

12346

Comments

  • michaels
    michaels Posts: 29,221 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Thank you - up to this point I was despairing about a thread that had started by adding percent changes over time (Mexico goes through a tough patch and transport minister announces that the proposed number of lanes on a new highway had been reduced by 50% from 8 to 4, following year finances not so ticht and the number of lanes is increased again by 50%, adding the 50% decrease to the 50% increase obviously gives a total of no change ;) ) and then had index percentage changes mangled.

    More substantively, over most 4 year periods real incomes have risen not held steady (allowing housing costs as a proportion of income to increase) - in this period not only have real incomes fallen but increases in the price of other necessities has been offset by reductions in housing costs as the result of the fall in interest rates - conclusion , unless real incomes start increasing again then any increase in interest rates is likely to result in house prices falling.


    jamesd wrote: »
    CPI Jan 2011 / Jan 2008 * 100 = 116.9 / 105.5 * 100 = 11.28% increase over three years.
    RPI 229.0 / 209.8 * 100 = 9.15%

    The Office for National Statistics provide CPI and RPI data. The index values for recent years have been:
    D7BT CPI (2005 = 100) CHAW All items RPI (Jan 1987 = 100)
    2007 Jan    CPI        103.2    RPI        201.6
    2007 Feb    CPI        103.7    RPI        203.1
    2007 Mar    CPI        104.2    RPI        204.4
    2007 Apr    CPI        104.5    RPI        205.4
    2007 May    CPI        104.8    RPI        206.2
    2007 Jun    CPI        105.0    RPI        207.3
    2007 Jul    CPI        104.4    RPI        206.1
    2007 Aug    CPI        104.7    RPI        207.3
    2007 Sep    CPI        104.8    RPI        208.0
    2007 Oct    CPI        105.3    RPI        208.9
    2007 Nov    CPI        105.6    RPI        209.7
    2007 Dec    CPI        106.2    RPI        210.9
    2008 Jan    CPI        105.5    RPI        209.8
    2008 Feb    CPI        106.3    RPI        211.4
    2008 Mar    CPI        106.7    RPI        212.1
    2008 Apr    CPI        107.6    RPI        214.0
    2008 May    CPI        108.3    RPI        215.1
    2008 Jun    CPI        109.0    RPI        216.8
    2008 Jul    CPI        109.0    RPI        216.5
    2008 Aug    CPI        109.7    RPI        217.2
    2008 Sep    CPI        110.3    RPI        218.4
    2008 Oct    CPI        110.0    RPI        217.7
    2008 Nov    CPI        109.9    RPI        216.0
    2008 Dec    CPI        109.5    RPI        212.9
    2009 Jan    CPI        108.7    RPI        210.1
    2009 Feb    CPI        109.6    RPI        211.4
    2009 Mar    CPI        109.8    RPI        211.3
    2009 Apr    CPI        110.1    RPI        211.5
    2009 May    CPI        110.7    RPI        212.8
    2009 Jun    CPI        111.0    RPI        213.4
    2009 Jul    CPI        110.9    RPI        213.4
    2009 Aug    CPI        111.4    RPI        214.4
    2009 Sep    CPI        111.5    RPI        215.3
    2009 Oct    CPI        111.7    RPI        216.0
    2009 Nov    CPI        112.0    RPI        216.6
    2009 Dec    CPI        112.6    RPI        218.0
    2010 Jan    CPI        112.4    RPI        217.9
    2010 Feb    CPI        112.9    RPI        219.2
    2010 Mar    CPI        113.5    RPI        220.7
    2010 Apr    CPI        114.2    RPI        222.8
    2010 May    CPI        114.4    RPI        223.6
    2010 Jun    CPI        114.6    RPI        224.1
    2010 Jul    CPI        114.3    RPI        223.6
    2010 Aug    CPI        114.9    RPI        224.5
    2010 Sep    CPI        114.9    RPI        225.3
    2010 Oct    CPI        115.2    RPI        225.8
    2010 Nov    CPI        115.6    RPI        226.8
    2010 Dec    CPI        116.8    RPI        228.4
    2011 Jan    CPI        116.9    RPI        229.0
    2011 Feb    CPI        117.8    RPI        231.3
    2011 Mar    CPI        118.1    RPI        232.5
    2011 Apr    CPI        119.3    RPI        234.4
    2011 May    CPI        119.5    RPI        235.2
    
    Note that this is the all items RPI and includes changes in mortgage interest rates. If you want RPI excluding mortgage interest rates there's a series for that as well.

    Given the error in the CPI calculation (lack of compounding because the index value wasn't used) it would be nice to know the source of the wage inflation data so that can be looked at by all as well.
    I think....
  • jamesd
    jamesd Posts: 26,103 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    d.ross wrote: »
    Private sector wages are still going up, yet public sector wages haven't gone up gor a couple of years now.
    That's not generally true. See the ONS figures of 3% increase for public sector and 2% for private sector.

    Some examples are probably accurate but I think you have a mistaken impression of how much admin workers in the private sector make, or office cleaners.
    d.ross wrote: »
    The whole point is that these public sector employees have paid a large proportion of their wages into a badly managed pension fund for many years.
    They have generally done neither of those things. The public sector contributions, for a given income level in retirement, are very low and there is usually no fund at all for most public sector schemes, though some do have one.

    To see what the private sector is like, just look at the new plan to improve private sector pension provision, that provides for 8% total from employer and employee with the employer only having to pay 3% of that. While the public sector schemes usually have more like 20%-25% employer contribution.

    In the past it was true that public sector pay was lower but that's changed over the years.
  • d.ross_2
    d.ross_2 Posts: 593 Forumite
    jamesd wrote: »
    That's not generally true. See the ONS figures of 3% increase for public sector and 2% for private sector.

    Well that just shows that the statistics are complete rubbish. Have you had your head in the sand, and didn't hear that there has been a public sector pay freeze?
    jamesd wrote: »
    Some examples are probably accurate but I think you have a mistaken impression of how much admin workers in the private sector make, or office cleaners.

    Well there aren't many cleaners left in the public sector, as it is mainly private contractors.
    jamesd wrote: »
    They have generally done neither of those things. The public sector contributions, for a given income level in retirement, are very low and there is usually no fund at all for most public sector schemes, though some do have one.

    To see what the private sector is like, just look at the new plan to improve private sector pension provision, that provides for 8% total from employer and employee with the employer only having to pay 3% of that. While the public sector schemes usually have more like 20%-25% employer contribution.

    In the past it was true that public sector pay was lower but that's changed over the years.


    I think you need to change your sources
  • jamesd
    jamesd Posts: 26,103 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    d.ross wrote: »
    Well that just shows that the statistics are complete rubbish. Have you had your head in the sand, and didn't hear that there has been a public sector pay freeze?
    I also see things like "Public sector workers get pay rises twice the rate of private sector workers", an October 2009 story. Note that "the year to April 2010" in the figure earlier in the discussion includes that period.

    That story is also interesting for "It comes in a week when unemployment jumped to 2.47 million as economists predicted it is now inevitable that the numbers out of work will pass three million, matching the job crises seen in the 1980s and 1990s recessions. However the job losses have been largely confined to the private sector, which shed 230,000 jobs between March and June. In the same period the number of public sector workers rose 13,000, pushing the total workforce paid out of taxes beyond 6 million".

    Later, if the pay freeze really happens and isn't rendered useless by things like pay for new hires being higher we might see some reduction in the rate of public sector pay increases.

    Not that it'll matter too much to those in the private sector, who freezes that don't make the national press instead.
  • d.ross_2
    d.ross_2 Posts: 593 Forumite
    jamesd wrote: »
    I also see things like "Public sector workers get pay rises twice the rate of private sector workers", an October 2009 story. Note that "the year to April 2010" in the figure earlier in the discussion includes that period.

    That story is also interesting for "It comes in a week when unemployment jumped to 2.47 million as economists predicted it is now inevitable that the numbers out of work will pass three million, matching the job crises seen in the 1980s and 1990s recessions. However the job losses have been largely confined to the private sector, which shed 230,000 jobs between March and June. In the same period the number of public sector workers rose 13,000, pushing the total workforce paid out of taxes beyond 6 million".

    Later, if the pay freeze really happens and isn't rendered useless by things like pay for new hires being higher we might see some reduction in the rate of public sector pay increases.

    Not that it'll matter too much to those in the private sector, who freezes that don't make the national press instead.

    Like I said, you must have had your head burried in the sand to not hear that there has been a public sector pay freeze for at least a couple of years. That is a 0% increase. It was only in the press the other day about private sector pay increases being at around 2.6%.
  • jamesd
    jamesd Posts: 26,103 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Freezes aren't necessarily universal and it seems that one wasn't, given the increase that happened anyway. The private sector is no stranger to freezes either.
  • d.ross_2
    d.ross_2 Posts: 593 Forumite
    jamesd wrote: »
    Freezes aren't necessarily universal and it seems that one wasn't, given the increase that happened anyway. The private sector is no stranger to freezes either.

    Pay freezes are universal in the public sector. They were imposed by the government...get your facts right.

    Did you read what I said about it being different in different businesses??

    If you work for a business where there is a pay freeze, and you don't like it, then go and work for another company.

    If you work as a teacher, in a hospital, a police officer, a firefighter, or a social worker, etc... then your chances of changing to a job in the private sector are extremely limited.
  • geneer
    geneer Posts: 4,220 Forumite
    d.ross, if your just going to dismiss evidence as "rubbish" when it doesn't suit you, there really is no point discussing it with you.

    In any event, the distinction between public and private isn't all that relevant.

    The salient point is that since 2007 median salaries (private and public sector) have kept up with inflation.
  • geneer
    geneer Posts: 4,220 Forumite
    michaels wrote: »
    Thank you - up to this point I was despairing about a thread that had started by adding percent changes over time.

    Like I said, its close enough to make the point.

    If you want to complete the compound calculations feel free.
  • RenovationMan
    RenovationMan Posts: 4,227 Forumite
    geneer wrote: »
    d.ross, if your just going to dismiss evidence as "rubbish" when it doesn't suit you, there really is no point discussing it with you.

    OMG!!

    pot_and_kettle_card-p137892574751846440td2f_152.jpg
This discussion has been closed.
Meet your Ambassadors

🚀 Getting Started

Hi new member!

Our Getting Started Guide will help you get the most out of the Forum

Categories

  • All Categories
  • 352K Banking & Borrowing
  • 253.5K Reduce Debt & Boost Income
  • 454.2K Spending & Discounts
  • 245.1K Work, Benefits & Business
  • 600.7K Mortgages, Homes & Bills
  • 177.4K Life & Family
  • 258.8K Travel & Transport
  • 1.5M Hobbies & Leisure
  • 16.2K Discuss & Feedback
  • 37.6K Read-Only Boards

Is this how you want to be seen?

We see you are using a default avatar. It takes only a few seconds to pick a picture.