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S&P cuts ratings outlook for the US of A

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Comments

  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    dunstonh wrote: »
    I just saw the headlines saying markets plunge and thinking the worst I took a look and say only 1-2% knocked off.

    Since when was 1-2% is considered a plunge?

    Since 1896 when the Daily Mail was first published,
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Sad that the rating agencies now seem to be running the US economy, wouldn't seem so bad if you were't aware of their ratings of semi junk CDO's before the great recession :eek:
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    dunstonh wrote: »
    I just saw the headlines saying markets plunge and thinking the worst I took a look and say only 1-2% knocked off.

    Since when was 1-2% is considered a plunge?

    Global mark down across all markets. Dow Jones a while back had no risers, red across the entire board. When the USA sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold.
  • Loopgames
    Loopgames Posts: 805 Forumite
    dunstonh wrote: »
    I just saw the headlines saying markets plunge and thinking the worst I took a look and say only 1-2% knocked off.

    Since when was 1-2% is considered a plunge?

    Only when it's gold and silver it's considered a plunge right ? ;)
  • oddly US gilt prices improved today,suggesting the market has confidence in those who`s job it will be to cut govt spending
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Mr_Mumble wrote: »
    Freddie and Fannie were not supposed to be backed by the US government.

    There was always an implicit guarantee. Even the 'Understanding the Financial Markets' course I did at Citibank in 1996 said that whilst there was no explicit guarantee on their debt, it was implied that it would be guaranteed in case of solvency problems.
    woodbine wrote: »
    oddly US gilt prices improved today,suggesting the market has confidence in those who`s job it will be to cut govt spending

    Safe haven. It's a knee jerk reaction.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Generali wrote: »
    There was always an implicit guarantee. Even the 'Understanding the Financial Markets' course I did at Citibank in 1996 said that whilst there was no explicit guarantee on their debt, it was implied that it would be guaranteed in case of solvency problems.



    Safe haven. It's a knee jerk reaction.

    Oh the irony :)
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Oh the irony :)

    Sadly, despite what Goldbugs will have you believe, US Treasuries are the safest asset out there and that will continue until it stops. A US default would be a very traumatic experience (even an effective default via inflation) so most people prefer not to think about it.
  • pop_gun
    pop_gun Posts: 372 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    Generali wrote: »
    Sadly, despite what Goldbugs will have you believe, US Treasuries are the safest asset out there and that will continue until it stops. A US default would be a very traumatic experience (even an effective default via inflation) so most people prefer not to think about it.


    on the one hand you say US treasuries are the safest asset out there. then you state, default is an option people don't like to think about.
    make up your mind. either they're safe or they're not.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    pop_gun wrote: »
    on the one hand you say US treasuries are the safest asset out there. then you state, default is an option people don't like to think about.
    make up your mind. either they're safe or they're not.

    They're as safe as anything can be. Which is not to say anything is 100% safe.

    WRT the possibility of default, they will likely maintain their safe haven status as long as the USA maintains it's AAA rating.

    Remember a few years ago the same ratings agencies issued similar warnings about the UK's AAA rating, to the excitement of more than a few on here, whilst Germany was considered to be the poster boy for responsible fiscal management.

    Yet now our debt is considered safer than Germany's.....

    Things change.

    What S&P have said is that IF the USA don't resolve their political differences over deficit reduction, there is a risk that their AAA rating COULD be downgraded at some point in the future.

    Even if it was downgraded, there's a huge gap between that and default. Greece has been downgraded frequently in the last few years, and they've got none of the advantages of the USA, and even they haven't defaulted yet.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
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