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Debate House Prices


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Base Rate Decision Tomorrow

well its that time of the month already, any ideas.

0.5% tomorrow at 12, more than likely

Base Rate Change 59 votes

Up 0.5%+
3% 2 votes
Up a litte 0.25%
8% 5 votes
No Change
84% 50 votes
Down to 0.25%
3% 2 votes
«13

Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    0.5% while they monitor inflation rising.
  • the main 'rates higher antagonist' andrew sentance has his last vote next month. so the odds of it going up are getting slimmer..
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    It appears that wage inflation is now looking around 3%.
  • SAK45
    SAK45 Posts: 144 Forumite
    Inflation target was increased therefore, chances are interest rate will stay put ;)
    Even time will never heal these scars
  • -5% tomorrow & relaxation of bank lending

    Instant Quantitative Easing
    Not Again
  • Niksan
    Niksan Posts: 309 Forumite
    I think they're going to test the water, based on the fact I've had more than one pee this evening.

    Oh, and the $£ is rallying ;)
  • 0.5% until I make the second 10% overpayment on our mortgage in June.
    :beer:

    As a FTB less than 2 years ago, I'll be down to 60% LTV by November (earlier if base rate stays at 0.5%).
    This recession has been great, although if i hadn't survived my two recent re-structures i may not agree.
  • myhouse_2
    myhouse_2 Posts: 553 Forumite
    500 Posts
    I think the Bank know they have to raise rates, but want to do it as late as possible. Particularly since the quarterly economic figures will not be out in time for this decision. No change.
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    inflation minus the VAT increase is about 2.5% - can someone explain how raising rates will have an impact on this inflation?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Shop price inflation fell from 2.7% in Feb to 2.4% in March. The monthly figure fell by 0.3%, after increasing 0.7% in January.

    M4 fell by £0.7 Billion in Feb.

    British Industrial Output fell by 1.2% in Feb.

    New car sales down 7.9% YoY in March.

    Chances of a base rate hike are pretty slim IMO, and it's starting to look like the MPC were absolutely right to hold their nerve.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
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