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Debate House Prices
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Mortgage approvals rose July
Comments
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From the horse's mouth:
http://www.bba.org.uk/media/article/july-figures-for-main-high-street-banks
Nominal lending is up, real lending is down.The annual growth in the banks' net mortgage lending is 4.1%, substantially ahead of the 0.9% for the whole mortgage market in June.
BBA statistics director, David Dooks said:
"Gross mortgage lending remains stable, although demand for mortgages continues to be subdued. The greater availability of properties for sale and slowing house price growth have not yet fed through to increased house purchase approvals.
"Consumer credit outstanding continues to reflect high repayments together with pressure on household finances and job uncertainty while companies are tending to retrench and reduce their bank borrowing."
The graph they print tells a story. Lending of all sorts is dropping. While people were saving more too, that is now flattening out. That suggests to me people can't or don't want to borrow but are happy that they have saved up enough of a buffer for the future on average.
HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »They're not conflicting.
BBA is only the 6 major banks. It's only a partial figure.
http://www.bba.org.uk/about-us/member-listWho do we represent?
We represent over 200 banks. These member banks collectively provide the full range of banking and financial services and make up the world’s largest international banking centre, operating some 150 million accounts and contributing £50 billion annually to the UK economy. Our membership list can be found here: Member List0 -
Excellent news.
Cheaper houses have enabled more people to buy, hence the increase in approvals.
Wrong again.
House prices rose in July both on the Halifax and Land Registry indices.“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
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Doctor_Gloom wrote: »It used to be 100,000 approvals per month. The market's dead. Sensible people are waiting for the inevitable further price falls before committing.
Yep, its been half this level and its been twice this level. 50k people buying during what is supposed to be a period of fear and trepidation is pretty impressive. What we have lost are the people who were just buying to better their homes with an eye on an increase in prices. Those that are selling now are made up of distressed sellers and some speculators but no doubt we shall get back to the 100k when the current "sellers strike" is over.0 -
HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »Mortgage approvals numbered 48,722 in July, up from an upwardly revised 48,562 in June. Analysts had forecast a reading of 46,500.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7972742/UK-mortgage-approval-rise-but-total-lending-weakest-since-March.html
48,562 - 48,722 = 160 (June 2010 - July 2010)
48,562 - 108,000 = -59,438 (August 2007 - August 2010)0 -
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from both sides gives 1=2.