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Many people coming round to double dip.

The first page of todays new moneyweek says "Times are getting harder for us at MW: so many people seem to be coming round to our way of thinking double dip etc that we barely consider ourselves contrarian anymore".

I like to think of myself as contrarian because when everyone is thinking the same thing not many people are thinking much.

If most people seem to be coming round to the fact that the crisis has just been made worse by kicking the can down the road, then maybe those who have been saying this are not contrarian any more also.

Are those who think the recovery is real and the crisis is over now the contrarians?
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Comments

  • Dan:_4
    Dan:_4 Posts: 3,795 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Moneyweek, enough said.
  • dave4545454
    dave4545454 Posts: 2,025 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary Combo Breaker
    double dip? we're still in the middle of the first one
    Martin has asked me to tell you I'm about to cut the cheese, pull my finger.
  • nollag2006
    nollag2006 Posts: 2,638 Forumite
    Didn't Moneyweek announce that house prices wouldn't fall in April 2007? What a bunch of jokers
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    A drop back into recession is very unlikely, history tells us that if nothing else.

    Growth rates are highly likely to fall back as the one off boost from adding to inventories subsides. You can probably knock off a bit more as austerity starts to bite. The most likely thing is going to be somewhere between a year and a decade or more of sub-par growth (less than 2%). That's going to feel a lot like a recession but isn't.
  • JonnyBravo
    JonnyBravo Posts: 4,103 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    RDB wrote: »
    The first page of todays new moneyweek says "Times are getting harder for us at MW"

    Yeah sure. That's why Merryn SW only had £935k to spend on her ickle house.
    Poor ol' "journo's"
    How are they going to get by?
  • bo_drinker
    bo_drinker Posts: 3,924 Forumite
    double dip? we're still in the middle of the first one

    Still loads that don't realise there is a recession, or has been.
    I came in to this world with nothing and I've still got most of it left. :rolleyes:
  • ruggedtoast
    ruggedtoast Posts: 9,819 Forumite
    Generali wrote: »
    A drop back into recession is very unlikely, history tells us that if nothing else.

    Growth rates are highly likely to fall back as the one off boost from adding to inventories subsides. You can probably knock off a bit more as austerity starts to bite. The most likely thing is going to be somewhere between a year and a decade or more of sub-par growth (less than 2%). That's going to feel a lot like a recession but isn't.

    The pips will squeak.
  • Blacklight
    Blacklight Posts: 1,565 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I got to the seventh word and lost interest. No doubt 'many people' means MS-W and friends.
  • worldtraveller
    worldtraveller Posts: 14,013 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    edited 13 August 2010 at 7:49PM
    Why just a double dip? If we have a double dip, we may easily see a triple dip....or whatever!

    If we head into a double dip (IMHO it will be a close call, but, I'm still just siding on it happening), there is a strong possibility of a triple dip.

    If we do go into a double dip, or are very likely to do so, interest rates cannot be lowered much further, so we will probably see more QE (smoke & mirrors).

    Withdraw that again and, unless there are any real reasons for sustained organic growth, we will likely see another dip.

    The booms & busts will no doubt continue.
    There is a pleasure in the pathless woods, There is a rapture on the lonely shore, There is society, where none intrudes, By the deep sea, and music in its roar: I love not man the less, but Nature more...
  • bo_drinker
    bo_drinker Posts: 3,924 Forumite
    I came in to this world with nothing and I've still got most of it left. :rolleyes:
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