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Debate House Prices


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Why are posters so Obsessed with House Prices?

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Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 29 July 2010 at 2:07PM
    Do you see why the interest rate matters?

    Yup, and never disagreed otherwise.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    The rate stayed unchanged at 2% from June 1932 to August 1939, then rose to 4% for a month, then 3% for a month, then back to 2% until November 1951.

    So they'd have to stay very low indeed to beat the average interest rate ending in the early 1950s, which was 2% almost all the way.

    The interesting point is on that between 1932 and the early 1950's what kind of deficit where we running.

    Perhaps that may be an indication of what happens to rates in times of massive government debt.

    It is a fair bet to say they will most probably be the lowest for our life time at least, still possibly the lowest ever for a 25 year period (2008-2033).
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 29 July 2010 at 2:36PM
    Originally Posted by borntobefree viewpost.gif
    Do you see why the interest rate matters?
    Yup, and never disagreed otherwise.
    so what you're saying now is that it's a good time to buy property on a good interest rate...
  • neverdespairgirl
    neverdespairgirl Posts: 16,501 Forumite
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Who set the rates back in 1685?

    the Bank of England from 1685 or so, but not on the govt's behalf, officially, until about 1870.
    ...much enquiry having been made concerning a gentleman, who had quitted a company where Johnson was, and no information being obtained; at last Johnson observed, that 'he did not care to speak ill of any man behind his back, but he believed the gentleman was an attorney'.
  • neverdespairgirl
    neverdespairgirl Posts: 16,501 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    where are those people that think that rates will go up above 3%...

    In the next 20 years? Absolutely unknowable.
    ...much enquiry having been made concerning a gentleman, who had quitted a company where Johnson was, and no information being obtained; at last Johnson observed, that 'he did not care to speak ill of any man behind his back, but he believed the gentleman was an attorney'.
  • neverdespairgirl
    neverdespairgirl Posts: 16,501 Forumite
    Really2 wrote: »

    It is a fair bet to say they will most probably be the lowest for our life time at least, still possibly the lowest ever for a 25 year period (2008-2033).

    I think it's utterly, utterly impossible to make any guesses at all for what'll be happening in 20 years' time.
    ...much enquiry having been made concerning a gentleman, who had quitted a company where Johnson was, and no information being obtained; at last Johnson observed, that 'he did not care to speak ill of any man behind his back, but he believed the gentleman was an attorney'.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 29 July 2010 at 2:48PM
    I think it's utterly, utterly impossible to make any guesses at all for what'll be happening in 20 years' time.

    It's not impossible to make guesses, it would be impossible to give an 100% guarantee:)
    That we have seen a base rate of 0.5% for nearly 2 years and not much indication it will be moving even up to 2014.
    Add to that what you rightly pointed out rates remain low in times of massive budget deficit, I was just pointing out it was likely a safe bet.

    I dare say if you asked on the odds on it (I presume some bookmaker would do it) the odds it being the lowest in our lifetime would not be worth betting on.
    Lowest ever for a 25 year period, I would say you would still be looking at a poor return (4-1 or less)

    There is no doubt in my mind base rate from late 2008-2033 will have been the lowest in our lifetime.

    Another crash like this is unlikely to pan out while we are here (or at least interested:)) other crashes will happen but I doubt government debt will be allowed to get so out of control
  • nearlynew
    nearlynew Posts: 3,800 Forumite
    Whatever figures you come up with at different interest rates, they're always more favourable when the price is lower to start with.
    "The problem with quotes on the internet is that you never know whether they are genuine or not" -
    Albert Einstein
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    nearlynew wrote: »
    Whatever figures you come up with at different interest rates, they're always more favourable when the price is lower to start with.
    the OP didn't have a time machine to go back to 1991 to buy the property at a lower price - they were looking at now and they weren't looking at DFS sofas either...
  • nearlynew
    nearlynew Posts: 3,800 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    the OP didn't have a time machine to go back to 1991 to buy the property at a lower price


    who needs a time machine?


    patience will do
    "The problem with quotes on the internet is that you never know whether they are genuine or not" -
    Albert Einstein
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