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Debate House Prices


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imaginative ways of getting on the housing ladder....

......Ok, so we've had self cert and shared ownership (my rm search currently brings up 2 SO homes in my area, 2/3 years ago you were easily looking at 30+).... whats next? :D

Not that I'm thinking the next 12/24 months will be the time to buy and am getting twitchy and am wanting personal advice on how a £30k total gross pa household can buy somewhere with only £10k dep and the cheapest possible suitable property being £150k..... :cool:

I think there are a lot of people like me who thought house buying would always be beyond them- average prices tripling every 10 years ;) etc- so have had [STRIKE]too many[/STRIKE] kids and not really saved, now find they could afford something, just nothing anywhere near suitable for their families :o

Buy to Let? Need 25% deposit....

Renovate your way up a la Miss S Beany? Need to possess a sledgehammer, 5000 litres of magnolia (or is it pure brilliant white nowadays?) paint, and still probably need a 25% deposit

The thought of actually saving the required 50k does not grab me, particularly given the length of time it would take to save, we'd then still be 50k short (more like £250k according to the triple theory) :A
We cannot change anything unless we accept it. Condemnation does not liberate, it oppresses. Carl Jung

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Comments

  • brit1234
    brit1234 Posts: 5,385 Forumite
    sjaypink wrote: »
    average prices tripling every 10 years ;) etc

    Only tripled in the 1997-2007 decade due to too low interest rates, selling off the mortgage debt through securitisation, ever laxer lending standards and mass mortgage fraud. It has been one hell of a freak decade.

    Me personally I have saved my 20% deposit. Now just nealy finished saving fees and furniture. :beer:
    :exclamatiScams - Shared Equity, Shared Ownership, Newbuy, Firstbuy and Help to Buy.

    Save our Savers
  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Only one thing for it: marry well.

    If it's a couple you'd have to both marry well, then divorce and take half ... then pool resources and buy.
  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Option B: Move where houses are cheaper.
  • sjaypink
    sjaypink Posts: 6,740 Forumite
    Ever the voice of reason PN :A

    I'm not sure which is the least appealling option: semi-professional gold-digging or merthyr :cool:

    Both noted as options though, thanks
    (I will however admit at this point I was more hoping for a pointer towards a 95% BTL mortgage) :D
    We cannot change anything unless we accept it. Condemnation does not liberate, it oppresses. Carl Jung

  • Cleaver
    Cleaver Posts: 6,989 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    brit1234 wrote: »
    Only tripled in the 1997-2007 decade due to too low interest rates, selling off the mortgage debt through securitisation, ever laxer lending standards and mass mortgage fraud. It has been one hell of a freak decade.

    That isn't true though. You can download the figures from Nationwide to look at what happened to house prices decade on decade from 1962 to now. The graph below shows the multiple of real house prices for each quarter compared the same quarter a decade ago (source: Nationwide).

    graph11.jpg


    The 1997 - 2007 period did see house prices treble, but it doesn't really seem a 'freak decade', more just a peak in a graph full of peaks and troughs.

    You can see from the graph that house prices trebled (or quadrupled or even quintupled) in the following decades:

    1962 - 1972
    1963 - 1973
    1964 - 1974
    1965 - 1975
    1966 - 1976
    1967 - 1977
    1968 - 1978
    1969 - 1979
    1970 - 1980
    1971 - 1981
    1972 - 1982
    1973 - 1983
    1974 - 1984
    1975 - 1985
    1976 - 1986
    1977 - 1987
    1978 - 1988
    1979 - 1989
    1994 - 2004
    1995 - 2005
    1996 - 2006
    1997 - 2007
  • carolt
    carolt Posts: 8,531 Forumite
    Higher paying job in the short term? Or patience in the medium term? Assuming that (like me) you think the direction of house prices can only be down, unless we all face a period of high inflation including wage inflation. Either way, more affordable relative to incomes.
  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    sjaypink wrote: »
    Ever the voice of reason PN :A

    I'm not sure which is the least appealling option: semi-professional gold-digging or merthyr :cool:

    Both noted as options though, thanks
    (I will however admit at this point I was more hoping for a pointer towards a 95% BTL mortgage) :D
    It doesn't have to be Merthyr... plenty of other cheap places that aren't Merthyr.

    £30k income, looking at £100k ... loads of places in the country that are lovely.

    Cheapest 4-bed house in Cornwall at the moment (excluding plots, renovations, retirement, SO, holiday homes, auctions) is on at £109,950 in Bodmin http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-15335742.html

    If you want to go to 3-beds, but detached, cheapest is £130k in Liskeard: http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-13735326.html (fully renovated and good to go!) Cheapest 3-bed detached in Merthyr's £99k, so not that much different :)
  • sjaypink
    sjaypink Posts: 6,740 Forumite
    carolt wrote: »
    Higher paying job in the short term? Or patience in the medium term? Assuming that (like me) you think the direction of house prices can only be down, unless we all face a period of high inflation including wage inflation. Either way, more affordable relative to incomes.
    No no no! You're being far too sensible! :D

    I was trying to set the theme with 'self certs, shared ownership...' :rotfl:

    I will wait, seems I have no choice, just impatient seeing several 'bargains' around recently, and am of the impression there are plenty more to come, but I'm also of the impression the window of opportunity (oooh, get me, I sound like a life coach or summat) will be fairly limited.... I hope not though :)
    We cannot change anything unless we accept it. Condemnation does not liberate, it oppresses. Carl Jung

  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    sjaypink wrote: »
    ...cheapest possible suitable
    Maybe your search area's not large enough, or you're being too sniffy.

    :)

    You're supposed to start in a slum and drag yourself up!
  • Cleaver
    Cleaver Posts: 6,989 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Just looking at that graph again and it's interesting to note that house prices doubled from 1960 to 1970 then quintupled from 1970 to 1980. So if a house was worth £3,000 in 1960 it had rocketed to £30,000 just twenty years later. And yet we only see the last decade as the time when house prices went mental.

    Isn't the average house worth about £160,000 now? If the same thing happens in the next twenty years as it did in the twenty year example above the average house will be £1.6 million in 2030. Can't see that somehow, but I'm sure your average person in 1960 didn't see it coming either...
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