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BoE's King-ratings agencies not about to re-rate UK

2

Comments

  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 23 February 2010 at 1:52PM
    abaxas wrote: »
    Banking by definition is a confidence 'trick'. Why would you think a bank would attempt to destroy this?
    that is not the point. banking is borrowing and lending money or transactions related to money.
    however, you've tried to confuse the point - business confidence may be a confidence trick.
    they are different things.

    Mervyn King telling lies or making himself look stupid and discrediting himself does nothing for him personally or his professional career. he wouldn't do that.
  • chucky wrote: »
    Mervyn King telling lies or making himself look stupid and discrediting himself does nothing for him personally or his professional career. he wouldn't do that.

    It wouldn't be fair to accuse him of telling lies. A credit downgrade isn't a certainty but given the situation it is certainly an outcome that is possible. Everyone will attribute different probabilities to the liklihood of that event.

    Merv is just stating in public that he doesn't think it will happen and that is a natural and sensible postion to take if your partly responsible for the finanical stability of the country. I wouldn't expect him to say anything different :)
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    stueyhants wrote: »
    It wouldn't be fair to accuse him of telling lies. A credit downgrade isn't a certainty but given the situation it is certainly an outcome that is possible. Everyone will attribute different probabilities to the liklihood of that event.

    Merv is just stating in public that he doesn't think it will happen and that is a natural and sensible postion to take if your partly responsible for the finanical stability of the country. I wouldn't expect him to say anything different :)
    i agree he's just doing his job

    the focus of talk about downgrades has moved from the UK to Europe and Japan at the moment IMO.

    you'll see prices on the markets move favourably until the focus of default returns to the UK. when this happens the markets will factor the default rumour into gilts and the rest of the market in the event of a default.
  • Emy1501
    Emy1501 Posts: 1,798 Forumite
    He did not see the banks failing and he did not see us entering recession in 2008. Not sure why people feel he would see us having a rating cut. Also as has already been said we would be the last to know even if he did think it.
  • Wookster
    Wookster Posts: 3,795 Forumite
    Hmmmm but then again Mervyn didn't see the slightest hint of the credit crunch.

    Surely he's not the oracle he might profess to be when it comes to predicting seismic events.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Wookster wrote: »
    Hmmmm but then again Mervyn didn't see the slightest hint of the credit crunch.

    Surely he's not the oracle he might profess to be when it comes to predicting seismic events.

    Then again perhaps he had to close an eye on the UK credit situation and was hit by an Excocet (remember them:eek:) from across the water.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • lemonjelly
    lemonjelly Posts: 8,014 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker Mortgage-free Glee!
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Then again perhaps he had to close an eye on the UK credit situation and was hit by an Excocet (remember them:eek:) from across the water.

    Yep. They're the things the french (our euro "allies") were caught red handed selling to the argies in 1982!
    It's getting harder & harder to keep the government in the manner to which they have become accustomed.
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    No they don't......



    There is no imminent threat of a downgrade.

    And in fact, there is only a chance of a downgrade in the highly unlikely "worst case scenario".

    Which is a far cry from the inevitability of downgrade portrayed by our more pessimistic posters.

    And right where you stopped quoting:
    "The rise in debt and higher interest costs could test the ratings under some scenarios, but not right away."
    The analysts said they did not expect either country to lose its "Aaa" rating but two risks to this view are how quickly interest rates rise over the next few years and debt financeability.
    What you have used is the imminent part. Infact, the title of the story ended with "for now".
  • What you have used is the imminent part. In fact, the title of the story ended with "for now".

    :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:

    Mastery of the English language is not your strong point, is it Graham?

    Perhaps you'd care to explain why there is a significant difference between......

    No rainfall is imminent.

    No rainfall wil be happening, for now.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker

    Mastery of the English language is not your strong point, is it Graham?

    You are the one questioning the difference!
    Perhaps you'd care to explain why there is a significant difference between......

    No rainfall is imminent.

    No rainfall wil be happening, for now.

    Surely I don't really need too?

    Imminent = Likely the occur at any moment
    Ok for now = We are ok at the moment, but cannot guarentee the near future.
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