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Mortgage choice - any advice, please?

Hi
I know this probably boils down to how soon I think interest rates will rise, but here goes.

Fab tracker deal with Abbey is coming to an end in March. Will be looking for a deal on £150k. House is worth £350k +. Working on an interest only basis but paying in £1300+ a month so need the facility to do this without penalty. £38k endowments to be paid in in 2013. Looking at a 16 yr term but hoping to pay it off in 8.

The best deal from L and C is 3.89 fixed for 2 yrs with £712 for all fees involved.

I don't think rates are going to rise before the autumn and then I think they won't shoot up. My question is whether something like the HSBC lifetime tracker 2.09% above base rate with a £1029 fee (+225 if they have to send a valuer out) would be better. The up front fee is hefty but we could move from it at any time with no further penalty.

I'm reluctant to pay 3.89% if rates will be low and slow to climb.

Any thought please?
Thanks

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