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Unemployment will peak at 2.8m in 2010

2

Comments

  • ManAtHome
    ManAtHome Posts: 8,512 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Just in case you forgot the government growth and borrowing numbers from November 2008
    GDP Forecasts - 2009 1% contraction, 2010 1.75% growth,
    Borrowing Forecasts - 2008 £78bn, 2009 £118bn, 2010 £105bn, 2011 £87bn, 2012 £70bn, 2013 £54bn
    As they say - when some numbers change, it affects others.... (oh, and the above numbers didn't 'forecast' QE either, and that moved a bit smartly from £75bn to £200bn over 6 months or so).



    Article here http://seekingalpha.com/article/107818-uk-government-debt-will-double-and-tax-rises-will-follow-tax-cuts
  • ManAtHome wrote: »
    As they say - when some numbers change, it affects others.... (oh, and the above numbers didn't 'forecast' QE either, and that moved a bit smartly from £75bn to £200bn over 6 months or so).


    But wasnt the official figure £180bn only a couple of months ago??

    You so know where the sacked city accountants are working now....
    Not Again
  • treliac
    treliac Posts: 4,524 Forumite
    where the sacked city accountants are working now....

    Soup kitchens would be my preference.
  • treliac wrote: »
    Soup kitchens would be my preference.


    They are the same people who funded Labours return to Government & the party up until recently.

    They will be well looked after with our cash... ;)
    Not Again
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I didn't intend it to sound that way - I was suggesting that overall unemployment (in terms of hours worked) wasn't necessarily less but was being ameliorated by the wider spreading the pain.
    that's fair enough.

    every other post seems to be a bit upset that unemployment isn't at 3 million already and doubting the figures etc... etc...
    chucky wrote: »
    that's clearly good news that there will be less people unemployed.
    i would have thought that it was good news that this was revised prediction - obviously not for some people :confused:
  • Emy1501
    Emy1501 Posts: 1,798 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    that's clearly good news that there will be less people unemployed.


    can you show me a different way apart from predictions or even guessing to know indicate what unemployment will be in 2010?

    The thread is titled unemployment will peak at 2.8m. Of course when you read the article its a prediction from a bunch of people who's previous prediction was 3.2m and their current prediction on based on the Tories not making huge cuts if they get in which seems unlikely.

    Therefore the title should be unemployment predicted to reach 2.8m as long as there are no huge cuts by the next government
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Emy1501 wrote: »
    Of course when you read the article its a prediction from a bunch of people

    a bunch of people :confused: the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development are a bit more qualified and have a bit more analysis available to them than people who like to read thread titles on an internet forum :eek:
    Emy1501 wrote: »
    The thread is titled unemployment will peak at 2.8m.
  • Emy1501
    Emy1501 Posts: 1,798 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    a bunch of people :confused: the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development are a bit more qualified and have a bit more analysis available to them than people who like to read thread titles on an internet forum :eek:

    Does not matter how qualified they are, their prediction was wrong months ago and highly likely to be wrong in 6-12 months time especially when they put loads of ifs and buts in their prediction. Surely they should get a :rolleyes: for predicting 3.2m to be unemployed previously just like those who predicted between 3-4m
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Emy1501 wrote: »
    Does not matter how qualified they are, their prediction was wrong months ago and highly likely to be wrong in 6-12 months time especially when they put loads of ifs and buts in their prediction. Surely they should get a :rolleyes: for predicting between 3.2m to be unemployed previously
    and that's because
    But improvements in the general economic outlook meant the jobs market was not expected to suffer as much as previously thought.
    it seems that you're disappointed that the ecomomic outlook has improved...
    as for them being qualified the markets like this prediction instead of your headline soundbites on an internet forum. i reckon they know a bit more about the economy than you duchess... :rolleyes:
  • chucky wrote: »
    a bunch of people :confused: the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development are a bit more qualified and have a bit more analysis available to them than people who like to read thread titles on an internet forum :eek:

    CIPD were quoting 3.5million just a few months ago

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/recession/6183457/Unemployment-could-reach-3.5m-and-remain-high-for-a-decade-CIPD-warns.html

    and 3.2million in Nov 2008 (for 2009). They're not much better at forecasting than anyone else - so it seems
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