Debate House Prices


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Stock market mirroring great depression?

Dan Hannan has an interesting bit in his blog

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100010276/this-is-truly-terrifying-lessons-from-the-great-depression/

It looks scarily similar, I say we head for the hills
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Comments

  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    RabbitMad wrote: »
    Dan Hannan has an interesting bit in his blog

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100010276/this-is-truly-terrifying-lessons-from-the-great-depression/

    It looks scarily similar, I say we head for the hills

    Could the same not be done with any recession?
  • Really2 wrote: »
    Could the same not be done with any recession?

    yer but this ones different innit.
  • RabbitMad
    RabbitMad Posts: 2,069 Forumite
    Really2 wrote: »
    Could the same not be done with any recession?

    I have no idea, I didn't do the research.

    I think we are in danger of a double dip recession, do I see another great depression - I'm not sure I doubt it I think the governments will inflate away the debt, but then what do I know.

    I predicted a "soft landing" to the housing market "bubble" back in late 2006 or early 2007. I could see that the market was out of kilter but just couldn't see a senario that would force a correction. As it turned out a lack of cheap mortgages bought about by the northern rock problems forced it.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 17 September 2009 at 12:55PM
    RabbitMad wrote: »
    I think the governments will inflate away the debt, but then what do I know.
    .
    They have too much debt also and will screw their self with high IR's, ever thought Low IR could pay back debt quickly?

    Inflating debt away is pointless unless your income (GDP) is inflated also.


    Thanks for the post back, my point was (and always is) you can super impose anything if you want (even most probably a part of a boom)

    Just because some points hit after distorting and super imposing does not mean the same outcome will happen.

    What as history taught us? The past is the past.
    What went wrong in the past can be used to look how to deal with things in the present.
    But one thing is for sure it does not mean the outcomes will be the same.
  • You have to say that only a few if actually anybody understood what was going on in the great depression. However, even a peasant like me has some understanding of what’s going on at the moment. Information is power and we are awash with the stuff. In my opinion the only way recovery will be halted is if another Lehman’s happens. This of course is now virtually impossible. So many may find this world unfair etc etc, but it cannot change, not for now anyway.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Oh no talking head again :eek: Hope he never has to seek help from the NHS icon7.gif
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Really2 wrote: »
    Could the same not be done with any recession?

    What have got?

    A) Market Crash (world recession)
    B) Market recovery (anticipated end recession).

    Yep I guess other recession/recovery charts wouldn't look too dissimilar icon7.gif

    Where is Sabretooth with that chart, hope he hasn't gone extinct :eek:
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    RabbitMad wrote: »
    hink the governments will inflate away the debt, but then what do I know.

    I predicted a "soft landing" to the housing market "bubble" back in late 2006 or early 2007. I could see that the market was out of kilter but just couldn't see a senario that would force a correction. As it turned out a lack of cheap mortgages bought about by the northern rock problems forced it.

    I think it was a little more than that, otherwise the crash would have only happened here.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    I'm not sure I doubt it I think the governments will inflate away the debt

    Careful.

    Watch out for that KNEE !!!! :eek:
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    RabbitMad wrote: »
    I predicted a "soft landing" to the housing market "bubble" back in late 2006 or early 2007. I could see that the market was out of kilter but just couldn't see a senario that would force a correction. As it turned out a lack of cheap mortgages bought about by the northern rock problems forced it.

    With hindsight we really didn't have a clue what was driving the property market relentlessly upwards. Even now their is still an expectation that as the banks have been bailed out all is well.

    Sub prime lending on interest only basis was NR's downfall not low cost mortgages.
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