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Debate House Prices


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2.5 million people facing negative equity

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  • http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/plan/financial_risk_outlook_2009.pdf page 40 also mentions;


    "The presence of buy-to-let partly explains the rapid fall in house prices"

    "The steeper decline in residential property prices in this downturn
    may in part, be explained by the increased importance of the number
    of buy-to-let properties, as investment properties are more sensitive to
    expectations of property prices and rental yields than residential purchases.
    Weaknesses in the buy-to-let market, in turn, may have tended to reinforce
    the weaknesses in the wider residential market, and expectations of future
    house price falls could in turn become self-fulfilling."


    Interesting...
  • silvercar
    silvercar Posts: 50,769 Ambassador
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Academoney Grad Name Dropper
    http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/plan/financial_risk_outlook_2009.pdf page 40 also mentions;


    "The presence of buy-to-let partly explains the rapid fall in house prices"

    "The steeper decline in residential property prices in this downturn
    may in part, be explained by the increased importance of the number
    of buy-to-let properties, as investment properties are more sensitive to
    expectations of property prices and rental yields than residential purchases.
    Weaknesses in the buy-to-let market, in turn, may have tended to reinforce
    the weaknesses in the wider residential market, and expectations of future
    house price falls could in turn become self-fulfilling."


    Interesting...


    So when house prices were rising and FTBs couldn't get on the ladder, it was all the fault of the BTL brigade.

    Now prices are falling that too is the fault of the BTL brigade.

    A lot of influence these BTLers seem to have.
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  • mower5
    mower5 Posts: 189 Forumite
    silvercar wrote: »
    So when house prices were rising and FTBs couldn't get on the ladder, it was all the fault of the BTL brigade.

    Now prices are falling that too is the fault of the BTL brigade.

    A lot of influence these BTLers seem to have.
    Leverage means those that bought recently are vulnerable. How many were suckered in at the peak price with multiple btls and there own houses on the line? 500,000
    What happens if the pressure on rents lowers the income? lots more flats for sale, forcing prices lower, which forces rents lower, which forces further btls to sell portfolios or go bust, which lowers prices, etc, etc
  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    BTL LLs never had to think about paying the capital. They already had a house and would simply flog their empire at some future date and settle the capital with that.

    That put them a few hundred quid ahead of OOs before you take anything else into consideration. So they had a bit of a head start. Add in those that actually raised a deposit by MEWing from their first house they had equity in and that gave them another head start.

    Not sure my posting has a point, but it's getting on so I am not bothered if I made one or not - or what it was.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    It is funny how the posts become more valid when they agree with the doomers, the FSA were a joke the other week :D
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Pssst
    Pssst Posts: 4,803 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts
    Oh dear,how sad,never mind.

    We all have to pay for credit crunch Britain's failure.
  • ManAtHome
    ManAtHome Posts: 8,512 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    the FSA were a joke the other week
    So what's changed..?
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    BTL LLs never had to think about paying the capital. They already had a house and would simply flog their empire at some future date and settle the capital with that.

    That put them a few hundred quid ahead of OOs before you take anything else into consideration. So they had a bit of a head start. Add in those that actually raised a deposit by MEWing from their first house they had equity in and that gave them another head start.

    Not sure my posting has a point, but it's getting on so I am not bothered if I made one or not - or what it was.

    yawn - less than 10% of properties purchased are BTL

    not exactly the driver that stops the "have nots" to buy a property
  • mower5
    mower5 Posts: 189 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    yawn - less than 10% of properties purchased are BTL

    not exactly the driver that stops the "have nots" to buy a property
    What % of btls are 1-2 bed flats and terrace houses that ftb would traditional have bought?
    My guess 99%.
    BTL RIP - subprime 40% plus LTV
    FTB RIP - priced out via 25% LTV
    Bottom rung of ladder has died.
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    mower5 wrote: »
    What % of btls are 1-2 bed flats and terrace houses that ftb would traditional have bought?
    My guess 99%.
    BTL RIP - subprime 40% plus LTV
    FTB RIP - priced out via 25% LTV
    Bottom rung of ladder has died.

    don't know - you tell me; link or source please??
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