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interest rates

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confused not sure if ive got this right

Everyone is saying that the BoE interest rates are going down and will stay down

With a fixed rate mortgage-if the BoE interest rate drops u lose,the bank wins.if it rises u win,the bank loses. the banks dont like to lose so they charge u to fix the rate to even up the odds

With a tracker-if the BoE rate drops u win the bank loses,if it rises u lose the bank wins

why are nationwide offering a 3 year tracker at 0.74 above the base rate and a low product fee. this has been on offer for a while

do they think that over the 3 years the base rate will average at over 5%?
is this possible seeing that everyone thinks that the rate will drop and stay low and nationwide is also a very caucious bank??????????
???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????:confused:

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