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Debate House Prices
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Lehmans
Comments
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I'd like to think you were right....
But don't expect that path to smooth, easy and strewn with flowers.
It was never going to be easy - it's been clear to me at least that the Western economies are fupped ever since I started to do some digging into the bizarrely high level of house prices a couple of years back.
There was never any easy way out of this - but propping up every big financial institution Japanese style was never going to work. At least there are signs that the process of 'correction' in the markets will go ahead now.
On the other hand, we have essentially seen the next domino in the chain, Merrill Lynch, receive a bailout at the same time that Lehmans was allowed to go down.--
Every pound less borrowed (to buy a house) is more than two pounds less to repay and more than three pounds less to earn, over the course of a typical mortgage.0 -
Next question is what happens when asian markets open. The sp500 isnt even that badly affected at the moment which makes me nervous.
Its 10 pts higher then thursdays low..0 -
Half the Lehman's office seemed to be in the All Bar One opposite earlier, busiest I'd ever seen it on a monday afternoon. A lot of shocked looking people drowning their sorrows.0
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but i thought that you had everything in Gold?
that's dropped a bit recently hasn't it?
Huh - until the other day I had nothing in gold, it was all in cash in the bank.
Bought some gold at the weekend but only to the value of around 5% of my total savings fund. 10% is the recommended level as a hedge so I may double my stake as gold isn't unreasonably priced.
Will likely now just cash in on the near-25% appreciation over the last year (in stg terms) of my foreign currency savings and shove it all into NS&I bonds with a 'six month fund' sitting in one of the 6% instant access accounts, most likely Northern Rock eSaver as the government has been generous enough to guarantee them with taxpayers' money.
The name of the game now is safety, not 'making your money work'. If we do head into a prolonged recession and I was to lose my job at least I'll be in the position of having decent reserves to fall back on.
If I don't lose my job then I'm looking good to buy a house with cash when the market bottoms. Although if the government is still running lunatic levels of low interest rates by that stage I would be tempted to go for a mortgage and get a long term fix instead.--
Every pound less borrowed (to buy a house) is more than two pounds less to repay and more than three pounds less to earn, over the course of a typical mortgage.0 -
Huh - until the other day I had nothing in gold, it was all in cash in the bank.
Bought some gold at the weekend but only to the value of around 5% of my total savings fund. 10% is the recommended level as a hedge so I may double my stake as gold isn't unreasonably priced.
Will likely now just cash in on the near-25% appreciation over the last year (in stg terms) of my foreign currency savings and shove it all into NS&I bonds with a 'six month fund' sitting in one of the 6% instant access accounts, most likely Northern Rock eSaver as the government has been generous enough to guarantee them with taxpayers' money.
The name of the game now is safety, not 'making your money work'. If we do head into a prolonged recession and I was to lose my job at least I'll be in the position of having decent reserves to fall back on.
If I don't lose my job then I'm looking good to buy a house with cash when the market bottoms. Although if the government is still running lunatic levels of low interest rates by that stage I would be tempted to go for a mortgage and get a long term fix instead.
It is what i said to the mrs last week, when we have 4% rates next year i'll be buying a couple of places with near 90% mortgages.0 -
with a 'six month fund' sitting in one of the 6% instant access accounts, most likely Northern Rock eSaver as the government has been generous enough to guarantee them with taxpayers' money.
Just been along today to open a Northern Rock account. I think that HBOS is too big to be allowed to fail, but I have too much concentrated there, and a government guarantee is a government guarantee, after all.No reliance should be placed on the above! Absolutely none, do you hear?0 -
mr.broderick wrote: »It is what i said to the mrs last week, when we have 4% rates next year i'll be buying a couple of places with near 90% mortgages.
Although I hadn't thought you were advising others to hold off from property purchases for 12 months :rotfl: I thought that was a property bear's tactic :rotfl:0 -
baby_boomer wrote: »I might be joining you.
Although I hadn't thought you were advising others to hold off from property purchases for 12 months :rotfl: I thought that was a property bear's tactic :rotfl:
It is not me that it is a bull it is the market that is bear.0 -
mr.broderick wrote: »It is not me that it is a bull it is the market that is bear.
.
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These guys were cooking the books for ages,same as all the other investment houses, praying for an upturn to save them.
Hope nobody is retiring soon, check out your pension fund, might give you a shockControl is an illusion, chaos is the reality. A successful warrior dances with chaos, and success means simply that one is still alive.0
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