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Debate House Prices
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Shall we have our own 12 month house price survey then?

Cleaver
Posts: 6,989 Forumite


As all of those pesky 9,000 other MSEers have had their say, shall we have our own survey of where we all think house prices will be in exactly 12 months time? Let's say the comparison is the figures released for the end of August 2009 compared with the same figures released for the average house price at the end of August 2010 (LR or Nationwide I guess).
None of this, "well, it depends whether the government do x,y,z" or "well, with this false economy we all know what they should be". Just how far up or down you think the average price will be in 12 months time, keeping absolutely everything in mind.
I'll happily keep a lovely league table of predictions here on this first post and then in 12 months time we can have a healthy discussion about the figures (or rip the p*ss out of those that were completely wrong. Although obviously none of us will be wrong, because we're all right about this kinda thing).
I know it's not very cool to take part in things, but I assume most who post here regulary would be happy to have their say. I'll go first and I reckon house prices will be 2.8% higher than now this time next year. Small dip over this winter, a bit of stagnation and then a slight rise over next summer.
heyman: +11%
bluey890: +10.0276523%
Rupert the Bear 2: +6.7%
michaels: +5.5%
Euphoria1z: +5%
Hamish_Mctavish: +4%
Framps: +3.7%
TrulyMadly: +3.2%
Spirit: +3.1%
Dan:: +3%
Cleaver: +2.8%
vivatifosa: +2.8%
b0rker: +2.6%
lethal0r: +2%
LydiaJ: +2%
Masomnia: +1.75%
baileysbattlebus: +1.5%
IveSeenTheLight: +1.5%
ess0two: +1.3%
Radiantsoul: +1%
Annpan: 0%
StevieJ: 0%
sabretoothtiger: 0%
joeskeppi 0% (with a +/- 2% Peter Snow style swing)
JonnyBravo: -0.4%
harryhound: -1%
davesnave: -3%
wageslave: -3%
boyse7en: -3.14%
lemonjelly: -3.25%
Geeves1980: -3.75%
nm123: -4%
Cannon Fodder: -4% (LR)
Wolvoman: -4.5% (but +2% in London)
fingernails: -4.7%
chucky: -5%
damanpunk: -5%
Jennifer_Jane: -5%
ninky: -5%
Pobby: -5%
Lotus-eater: -5.23%
tommy75: -6%
treliac: -7%
moggylover: -7%
subarusty: -7%
skap7309: -7% (LR) -8.5% (the other ones)
graham_devon: -7.5%
carolt: -8%
ShelleyC: -8%
FC123: -9%
DeadCat: -10%
FungusFighter: -10%
mewbie: -10%
brit1234: -11%
spannaman: -11%
bo drinker: -12%
geoffky: -15%
bernard shaw: -25%
Lostinrates: "doesn't know" (which is probably the answer everyone should have)
Nearlynew: "down, but doesn't give a t0ss about percentages" (i.e. doesn't want to commit)
SingleSue: "very confuzzled and doesn't know"
Brixham: "clueless"
NEW PREDICTIONS FOR NOVEMBER 2010 to NOVEMBER 2011:
Linton: +5%
Jebervic: +0.5%
Sabretooth Tiger: Lots of clever stuff, but basically 0%
Pimperne1: 0%
Joeskeppi: 0% (with a 2% swing)
IveSeenTheLight: -1.5%
Cleaver: -3%
Vivatifosi: -4%
justme111: -4%
Procrastinator333: -5%
Coeus: -6%
Chucky: -7%
Davesnave: -7%
Harryhound: -10%
Michaels: -12%
Thrugelmir: -13%
None of this, "well, it depends whether the government do x,y,z" or "well, with this false economy we all know what they should be". Just how far up or down you think the average price will be in 12 months time, keeping absolutely everything in mind.
I'll happily keep a lovely league table of predictions here on this first post and then in 12 months time we can have a healthy discussion about the figures (or rip the p*ss out of those that were completely wrong. Although obviously none of us will be wrong, because we're all right about this kinda thing).
I know it's not very cool to take part in things, but I assume most who post here regulary would be happy to have their say. I'll go first and I reckon house prices will be 2.8% higher than now this time next year. Small dip over this winter, a bit of stagnation and then a slight rise over next summer.
heyman: +11%
bluey890: +10.0276523%
Rupert the Bear 2: +6.7%
michaels: +5.5%
Euphoria1z: +5%
Hamish_Mctavish: +4%
Framps: +3.7%
TrulyMadly: +3.2%
Spirit: +3.1%
Dan:: +3%
Cleaver: +2.8%
vivatifosa: +2.8%
b0rker: +2.6%
lethal0r: +2%
LydiaJ: +2%
Masomnia: +1.75%
baileysbattlebus: +1.5%
IveSeenTheLight: +1.5%
ess0two: +1.3%
Radiantsoul: +1%
Annpan: 0%
StevieJ: 0%
sabretoothtiger: 0%
joeskeppi 0% (with a +/- 2% Peter Snow style swing)
JonnyBravo: -0.4%
harryhound: -1%
davesnave: -3%
wageslave: -3%
boyse7en: -3.14%
lemonjelly: -3.25%
Geeves1980: -3.75%
nm123: -4%
Cannon Fodder: -4% (LR)
Wolvoman: -4.5% (but +2% in London)
fingernails: -4.7%
chucky: -5%
damanpunk: -5%
Jennifer_Jane: -5%
ninky: -5%
Pobby: -5%
Lotus-eater: -5.23%
tommy75: -6%
treliac: -7%
moggylover: -7%
subarusty: -7%
skap7309: -7% (LR) -8.5% (the other ones)
graham_devon: -7.5%
carolt: -8%
ShelleyC: -8%
FC123: -9%
DeadCat: -10%
FungusFighter: -10%
mewbie: -10%
brit1234: -11%
spannaman: -11%
bo drinker: -12%
geoffky: -15%
bernard shaw: -25%
Lostinrates: "doesn't know" (which is probably the answer everyone should have)
Nearlynew: "down, but doesn't give a t0ss about percentages" (i.e. doesn't want to commit)
SingleSue: "very confuzzled and doesn't know"
Brixham: "clueless"
NEW PREDICTIONS FOR NOVEMBER 2010 to NOVEMBER 2011:
Linton: +5%
Jebervic: +0.5%
Sabretooth Tiger: Lots of clever stuff, but basically 0%
Pimperne1: 0%
Joeskeppi: 0% (with a 2% swing)
IveSeenTheLight: -1.5%
Cleaver: -3%
Vivatifosi: -4%
justme111: -4%
Procrastinator333: -5%
Coeus: -6%
Chucky: -7%
Davesnave: -7%
Harryhound: -10%
Michaels: -12%
Thrugelmir: -13%
0
Comments
-
lir: doesn't know0
-
lostinrates wrote: »lir: doesn't know
No, nor do I really.0 -
mewbie: -10%
edit: btw the poll is still running.. just.
http://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/showthread.html?t=1929259
I will be making some observations when I think the time is right.0 -
Rupert_The_Bear_2 wrote: »Rupert the bear 2 + 6.7%.........On a totally different note, cleaver, are you enjoying Rupert the bear 2?
It's one of your better characters. Do you want to go down on the list as Mr Broderick or as Rupert the Bear 2?
I should point out that those with 4 or 5 alter egos should really let me know which name they want their prediction to go under.0 -
Hamish + 4%“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
-4.3 >> I think the crash has been delayed to 2011Hawt gal :heartpuls0
-
Rupert_The_Bear_2 wrote: »Yes I can understand that.A couple of years ago me and one of mewbies earlier id's had a bit of a tiff.I didn't speak to the wife for 4 months.
Damn you.0 -
fingernails wrote: »-4.3 >> crash delayed to 2011
Thanks fingernails. Do you have a more regular username, or are you sticking with this one? Christ, this is confusing. I'll put you down as fingernails, I don't want to get anyone banned.0 -
DeadCat - 10%0
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