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MSE News: UK economy showing 'positive signs'

This is the discussion thread for the following MSE News Story:

"The global economy has made "remarkable" progress in moving out of recession but remains "highly vulnerable" to shocks, a finance chief said today ..."

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Comments

  • 3rd quarter lucky...maybe.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    3rd quarter lucky...maybe.

    Do you think it will be revised to growth from the -0.4% preliminary on Wednesday?
  • I would not discount the possibility of a revision, but by enough to turn -0.4% into a positive, I would doubt.


    Perhaps I should have said;

    "For the third period (3rd quarter) in a row we've had positive stories of the alleged "recovery", maybe this time it will be true..."

    ...didn't mean to confuse the Jul-Sep '3rd quarter' with the third 'period' of news...
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 23 November 2009 at 10:53AM
    I agree on that (that to revise to growth would be too much). I think it will be hard not for the 4th 1/4 to be positive.
    But I think we all agree that any recovers is going to be very, very slow. (more like stagnation)
  • Reaper
    Reaper Posts: 7,356 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Unforunately unemployment will get worse even if the country starts to come out of recession.

    As The Times points out:
    As the UK recovered from the recession of 1979-81, unemployment continued to rise, peaking at 3.3 million people in 1984. It was not until 2000 that the unemployment rate finally returned to its 1979 level.

    I have seen graphs showing this is a common feature of recessions though I don't have the links to hand.

    So companies may start to feel better but the people may not. I guess it is natural for companies to be wary of taking more staff on until they are sure the recovery is sustainable.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    As the UK recovered from the recession of 1979-81, unemployment continued to rise, peaking at 3.3 million people in 1984. It was not until 2000 that the unemployment rate finally returned to its 1979 level.

    Interesting that Labour were in power 1979 and 2000 icon7.gif
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Mr.Brown_4
    Mr.Brown_4 Posts: 1,109 Forumite
    Isn't there someone who's an undertaker on here? He could probably tell us how long a corpse can keep twitching for.
  • treliac
    treliac Posts: 4,524 Forumite
    Mr.Brown wrote: »
    Isn't there someone who's an undertaker on here? He could probably tell us how long a corpse can keep twitching for.

    Oh, you are awful. :D
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Mr.Brown wrote: »
    Isn't there someone who's an undertaker on here? He could probably tell us how long a corpse can keep twitching for.

    yep - HPC.co.uk is dead. it isn' even good enough for entertainment value any more :confused:
  • nollag2006
    nollag2006 Posts: 2,638 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    yep - HPC.co.uk is dead. it isn' even good enough for entertainment value any more :confused:

    Still - HPC.co.uk is good for a laugh sometimes.

    Reading some of the posts reminds me of Harry Enfield's character, Kevin .... "It's soooooooooo unfair" !!!

    ;)
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