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Debate House Prices
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House Prices Up 4.9% in last 3 months alone....
HAMISH_MCTAVISH
Posts: 28,592 Forumite
According to Nationwides non seasonally adjusted (ie, the real price people actually pay instead of the adjusted index values) numbers for May, prices are up 4.9% since Feb.
Which is an annualised rate of around 20%......;)
Spring bounce is surprisingly bouncy given all the election and budget drama...
:beer:
Which is an annualised rate of around 20%......;)
Spring bounce is surprisingly bouncy given all the election and budget drama...
:beer:
“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”
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Comments
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HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »According to Nationwides non seasonally adjusted (ie, the real price people actually pay instead of the adjusted index values) numbers for May, prices are up 4.9% since Feb.
Which is an annualised rate of around 20%......;)
Spring bounce is surprisingly bouncy given all the election and budget drama...
:beer:
Now now, Hamish. It's seasonally adjusted for a reason.0 -
Now now, Hamish. It's seasonally adjusted for a reason.
True, but I'm pre-empting all the "0.5%, not much of a spring bounce" comments that are appearing elsewhere.;)“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
hamish, is this yet another of your cheap pointscoring /no debate welcomed threads? couldn't you find something more constructive to do like boiling your head0
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Somebody should really create a template post for this forum where you fill in the blanks to save people's fingers typing slightly different things each time a new figure comes out from some statistic collecting body.
House prices gone (up/down) by ____ according to ____
This is the start of a long term (boom/crash).
(beer smiley/sad smiley)0 -
HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »True, but I'm pre-empting all the "0.5%, not much of a spring bounce" comments that are appearing elsewhere.;)
Good point. Thay seem to have missed the fact that a 0.5% rise means 0.5% better than the average May.0 -
Good point. Thay seem to have missed the fact that a 0.5% rise means 0.5% better than the average May.
Indeed.
In reality, prices are up by around £8000 in just 3 months.
Which isn't nearly as mild as the "it's only 0.5%" crowd seem to think.“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
I suggested a new boom last spring. Looks like I was right.Hi, we’ve had to remove your signature. If you’re not sure why please read the forum rules or email the forum team if you’re still unsure - MSE ForumTeam0
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Turnbull2000 wrote: »I suggested a new boom last spring. Looks like I was right.
I don't think it's a new boom.
I wrote extensively last year that the crash is being time-compressed, the fundamentals are so very different to last time that it is clear the 90's scenario is a non starter this time around.
But I do expect things to start to level off now and through 2011.
2012 may get a bit "boomier" though.....“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
The "spring bounce" was a term traditionally used to describe an increase in activity.
Not an increase in prices.
It has only recently been hijacked by HPI cheerleaders to mean a rise in prices."The problem with quotes on the internet is that you never know whether they are genuine or not" -
Albert Einstein0 -
The "spring bounce" was a term traditionally used to describe an increase in activity.
Not an increase in prices.
It has only recently been hijacked by HPI cheerleaders to mean a rise in prices.
It's not a hijacking, there is a correlation of sorts.
With an increase in activity, it means there is an increase in demand.
The increase in demand results in a traditional increase in the rate of prices rises in the springtime.
Conversly, in the wintertime, activity levels lower, competition lessens and the rate of price rises lowers.
Hence the utilisation of seasonally adjusted indexes:wall:
What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
Some men you just can't reach.
:wall:0
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