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Are we expecting the BOE Base Rate to drop to 3.75% on the 6th November 2025?

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Comments

  • IAMIAM
    IAMIAM Posts: 1,394 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper
    What a shame it didnt drop!
  • ReadySteadyPop
    ReadySteadyPop Posts: 1,894 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Photogenic First Anniversary Name Dropper
    IAMIAM said:
    What a shame it didnt drop!
    They know they might be forced to raise soon, they have cut too quickly in my view, there are far too many global inflationary pressures now.
  • Strummer22
    Strummer22 Posts: 726 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    IAMIAM said:
    What a shame it didnt drop!
    They know they might be forced to raise soon, they have cut too quickly in my view, there are far too many global inflationary pressures now.
    They clearly don't read your wisdom on this forum, not a single member of the MPC voted for a hike in the last meeting.

    I expect no more cuts this year. Cuts of up to 0.75% over 2026. Headline inflation will look bad until May next year when the April 2025 monthly increase of 1.2% drops out and is replaced by a lower number (unless employers' NI rises steeply again, or something like that). 
  • ReadySteadyPop
    ReadySteadyPop Posts: 1,894 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Photogenic First Anniversary Name Dropper
    IAMIAM said:
    What a shame it didnt drop!
    They know they might be forced to raise soon, they have cut too quickly in my view, there are far too many global inflationary pressures now.
    They clearly don't read your wisdom on this forum, not a single member of the MPC voted for a hike in the last meeting.

    I expect no more cuts this year. Cuts of up to 0.75% over 2026. Headline inflation will look bad until May next year when the April 2025 monthly increase of 1.2% drops out and is replaced by a lower number (unless employers' NI rises steeply again, or something like that). 
    They won`t hike unless inflation really takes off, that will be off the back of some future "unexpected" event, at the moment they must be dying to cut but can`t take the chance.

    https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-15134541/High-Street-suffers-worst-run-financial-crash-Retail-sales-slump-twelfth-month-row.html

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2n4877j7lo
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