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Shifts in BoE interest rate expectations
inspector_monkfish
Posts: 9,276 Forumite
13:17 30Apr09 -POLL-FACTBOX-Shifts in BoE interest rate expectations
April 30 - The Bank of England will likely make the full 150
billion pounds in asset purchases authorised by the government and it will
ultimately prove effective in pumping life into the economy, a Reuters poll
found.
The poll also showed that the BOE's main interest rate will remain on hold
at 0.5 percent until the middle of 2010.
Following is a table on how BoE rate forecasts have evolved over the last
eight Reuters polls.
FORECASTS FOR END 2009
Poll Date Apr-30 Apr-01 Mar-05 Feb-26 Feb-11 Feb-05 Jan-29 Jan-08
Median 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
Sample size 61 63 61 62 52 52 68 53
Rate at 2.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Rate at 2.25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rate at 1.25 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 0
Rate at 1.00 0 0 0 5 2 10 20 15
Rate at 0.75 0 0 0 5 1 4 7 3
Rate at 0.50 59 61 53 38 30 25 25 21
Rate at 0.25 2 2 2 5 7 6 5 3
Rate at 0.125 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Rate at 0.00 0 0 6 7 9 6 8 5
FORECASTS FOR END 2010
Poll Date Apr-30 Apr-01 Mar-05 Feb-26 Feb-11 Feb-05 Jan-29 Jan-08
Median 1.25 1.00 1.00 1.25 -- -- -- --
Sample size 49 47 48 40 0 0 0 0
Rate at 4.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 3.50 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 3.00 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.75 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.50 4 3 2 3 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.25 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.00 6 3 5 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.75 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.50 9 6 8 7 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.25 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.00 6 9 6 5 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.75 1 5 0 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.50 16 13 19 7 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.25 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.125 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.00 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0
April 30 - The Bank of England will likely make the full 150
billion pounds in asset purchases authorised by the government and it will
ultimately prove effective in pumping life into the economy, a Reuters poll
found.
The poll also showed that the BOE's main interest rate will remain on hold
at 0.5 percent until the middle of 2010.
Following is a table on how BoE rate forecasts have evolved over the last
eight Reuters polls.
FORECASTS FOR END 2009
Poll Date Apr-30 Apr-01 Mar-05 Feb-26 Feb-11 Feb-05 Jan-29 Jan-08
Median 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
Sample size 61 63 61 62 52 52 68 53
Rate at 2.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Rate at 2.25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rate at 1.25 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 0
Rate at 1.00 0 0 0 5 2 10 20 15
Rate at 0.75 0 0 0 5 1 4 7 3
Rate at 0.50 59 61 53 38 30 25 25 21
Rate at 0.25 2 2 2 5 7 6 5 3
Rate at 0.125 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Rate at 0.00 0 0 6 7 9 6 8 5
FORECASTS FOR END 2010
Poll Date Apr-30 Apr-01 Mar-05 Feb-26 Feb-11 Feb-05 Jan-29 Jan-08
Median 1.25 1.00 1.00 1.25 -- -- -- --
Sample size 49 47 48 40 0 0 0 0
Rate at 4.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 3.50 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 3.00 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.75 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.50 4 3 2 3 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.25 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 2.00 6 3 5 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.75 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.50 9 6 8 7 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.25 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 0
Rate at 1.00 6 9 6 5 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.75 1 5 0 2 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.50 16 13 19 7 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.25 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.125 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Rate at 0.00 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0
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(MSE Andrea says ok!)
(MSE Andrea says ok!)
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