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  • FIRST POST
    • isayhello
    • By isayhello 3rd Dec 17, 3:15 PM
    • 150Posts
    • 8Thanks
    isayhello
    Fund has gone up but estimates have decreased, trying to understand.
    • #1
    • 3rd Dec 17, 3:15 PM
    Fund has gone up but estimates have decreased, trying to understand. 3rd Dec 17 at 3:15 PM
    Hi,

    I've asked a few questions but trying to put them in their own threads instead of jumbling them.

    I've just started to understand more about pensions and my own that I have through work, one thing that's confusing is I have a fund value which year on year is increasing on my statements but another figure of "estimated yearly payout" has decreased a few times.

    What could cause this? as the fund is increasing at a steady amount.

    Thanks
Page 1
    • Novice investor101
    • By Novice investor101 3rd Dec 17, 3:40 PM
    • 131 Posts
    • 69 Thanks
    Novice investor101
    • #2
    • 3rd Dec 17, 3:40 PM
    • #2
    • 3rd Dec 17, 3:40 PM
    Usually, the estimated value/payout at retirement age takes into account inflation & then gives you the figures "in today's money". Look further down the statement & it should give you a higher figure for the estimated value (without inflation) & explain the assumptions they are using to estimate the retirement figures.
    • dunstonh
    • By dunstonh 3rd Dec 17, 4:56 PM
    • 92,581 Posts
    • 59,890 Thanks
    dunstonh
    • #3
    • 3rd Dec 17, 4:56 PM
    • #3
    • 3rd Dec 17, 4:56 PM
    Projections are based on assumptions. Those assumptions have moved frequently over the years. Largely going from a position that likely overstated returns a bit to one that now likely understates returns. Plus, previously inflation was not considered, but now it is.

    So, one year your statement may have said what you get if it grows at 7% a year. Then next year the projection rate could be 5%. Now it could 2.4%.

    All projections are just examples using assumptions. Unless you know the assumptions, the projection is likely to be useless.
    I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). Comments are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.
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