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  • FIRST POST
    • 50Twuncle
    • By 50Twuncle 21st May 19, 7:09 AM
    • 9,540Posts
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    50Twuncle
    Postcode Lottery odds
    • #1
    • 21st May 19, 7:09 AM
    Postcode Lottery odds 21st May 19 at 7:09 AM
    Last year - we won 6 lots of 10 and one 15

    This year - nothing yet !

    What are the odds of winning 10 ?
Page 1
    • mjm3346
    • By mjm3346 22nd May 19, 2:01 PM
    • 41,009 Posts
    • 320,697 Thanks
    mjm3346
    • #2
    • 22nd May 19, 2:01 PM
    • #2
    • 22nd May 19, 2:01 PM
    What are the odds of winning 10
    Depends how many different postcodes are being played (as far as I am aware they do not reveal that information).
    Excluding NI there are over 1,500,000 postcodes, (the free pick my postcode site has almost 50% of postcodes registered but only 3.2% of the UK population).
    If you take just 2.5% as being played in the PPL as a possible figure = 37,500.
    They draw 1,000 postcodes for the weekly 10 draw which gives odds of winning it of about 37 to 1 and the same for the 20 draw so with "average" luck that would be 1 or 2 wins a year on both draws. If 5% of postcodes were played then it becomes an average of a win on each draw about every 18 months.
    Internet goodness 26901
    • mjm3346
    • By mjm3346 22nd May 19, 2:28 PM
    • 41,009 Posts
    • 320,697 Thanks
    mjm3346
    • #3
    • 22nd May 19, 2:28 PM
    • #3
    • 22nd May 19, 2:28 PM
    Just been looking at their accounts/forecasts and they expect to take in about 390,000,000 a year which equals 3,250,000 players @ 10 a month, people can play with more than 1 ticket and there can be several people playing in each postcode but just taking 5% of the number as being unique postcodes there would still be over 162,000 so with 1,000 10 and 1,000 20 prizes the odds are approx 160 to 1 for each (a win on each of the 10 and 20 draws about every 3 years)


    (They say 80% of players win something each year)
    Last edited by mjm3346; 15-07-2019 at 4:30 PM.
    Internet goodness 26901
    • Stu@rt
    • By Stu@rt 22nd May 19, 5:27 PM
    • 335 Posts
    • 3,607 Thanks
    Stu@rt
    • #4
    • 22nd May 19, 5:27 PM
    • #4
    • 22nd May 19, 5:27 PM
    Thats interesting to hear 50Twuncle. We must have had 4 or 5 last year and nothing at all this. Time to cancel maybe?
    • mjm3346
    • By mjm3346 22nd May 19, 5:46 PM
    • 41,009 Posts
    • 320,697 Thanks
    mjm3346
    • #5
    • 22nd May 19, 5:46 PM
    • #5
    • 22nd May 19, 5:46 PM
    Thats interesting to hear 50Twuncle. We must have had 4 or 5 last year and nothing at all this. Time to cancel maybe?
    Originally posted by Stu@rt
    Just chance, the 15 prize is now 20 and you have as much chance of winning that as 10, you have better odds now at 1,000 with 20 postcodes drawn everyday of the week (used to be 10) along with a 30,000 postcode on Saturdays and Sundays all apart from the Main draw (I won a 10 last week)
    Internet goodness 26901
    • Redredrobin
    • By Redredrobin 15th Jul 19, 9:32 AM
    • 13 Posts
    • 53 Thanks
    Redredrobin
    • #6
    • 15th Jul 19, 9:32 AM
    • #6
    • 15th Jul 19, 9:32 AM
    I have just canceled my subscription , more chance of platting fog now i think .
    Finally Debt free June 2019
    • janE1956
    • By janE1956 15th Jul 19, 9:50 AM
    • 1,294 Posts
    • 55,596 Thanks
    janE1956
    • #7
    • 15th Jul 19, 9:50 AM
    • #7
    • 15th Jul 19, 9:50 AM
    think the 10 wins are generally when somebody in same street with same post code signs up, so if you live in longer street more chance than a small cul de sac for instance.
    • mjm3346
    • By mjm3346 15th Jul 19, 11:18 AM
    • 41,009 Posts
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    mjm3346
    • #8
    • 15th Jul 19, 11:18 AM
    • #8
    • 15th Jul 19, 11:18 AM
    think the 10 wins are generally when somebody in same street with same post code signs up, so if you live in longer street more chance than a small cul de sac for instance.
    Originally posted by janE1956
    That's only for the main draw, it makes no difference for the others (10, 20, 1,000 etc) as each postcode with a ticket is only entered once regardless of the number of tickets in that postcode area.
    Internet goodness 26901
    • bargainhunter24
    • By bargainhunter24 16th Jul 19, 7:31 PM
    • 2 Posts
    • 0 Thanks
    bargainhunter24
    • #9
    • 16th Jul 19, 7:31 PM
    • #9
    • 16th Jul 19, 7:31 PM
    Is that definitely right mjm? I always thought the more people who played in each postcode, the more chance you have of winning (all draws, not just the big one) Otherwise there would be little benefit in buying multiple tickets?
    Also, did you know, you can play any postcode you like? It doesn't have to be where you live... I see a lot of people moaning about "it's always Birmingham or Bradford who seem to win" then it makes sense to play a Birmingham postcode and see if that is the case.
    I also wondered about getting a big group of people together to all start playing the same one postcode and see if there are more regular wins between the group?
    Thoughts?
    • mjm3346
    • By mjm3346 17th Jul 19, 7:34 AM
    • 41,009 Posts
    • 320,697 Thanks
    mjm3346
    Is that definitely right mjm? I always thought the more people who played in each postcode, the more chance you have of winning (all draws, not just the big one)
    Otherwise there would be little benefit in buying multiple tickets?
    Originally posted by bargainhunter24
    As per their website (their bold)

    For all prizes except the Postcode Millions, all playing postcodes are entered into the draw once, no matter how many people play with that postcode. The prize is not split between winners - everyone who plays with the winning postcode will win the advertised prize. Players with more than one ticket will win the relevant multiple of the advertised prize.
    Buying multiple tickets increases what you can win for all the other draws and increases ever so slightly the overall chances of winning the main draw and getting a bigger share of the prize.
    Last edited by mjm3346; 17-07-2019 at 7:39 AM.
    Internet goodness 26901
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