Electric cars

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  • AdrianC
    AdrianC Posts: 42,189 Forumite
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    Martyn1981 wrote: »
    Some EV news:

    1. Tesla may be taking market share from 'ordinary' cars, not just the small luxury market. I'm only guessing, but the Model 3 could/might outsell all other cars from Aug 18 to July 19 in the US. Might even get close to the Ford F150 pick up. Quite an achievement.
    Is there any reality which will impinge upon your rampant astroturfing for St Elon?

    Yes, they're finally ramping production up - but still very slowly. To date, they've had 2x 4,000+ car weeks, 2x 3,800+ car weeks, and another 3x 3,000 car weeks (one in April, one in May). A week ago, they put out just 2,800 - one of just three weeks ~2,500+. The grand total is still <60k cars.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-tesla-tracker/

    And you reckon that in the year from this month on, they can actually make a big dent in the US car market? Tesla has 0.7% of the car market this year to date...
    https://www.marklines.com/en/statistics/flash_sales/salesfig_usa_2018
    ...and trucks outsell cars 2:1. Ford shift over 800,000 F150s - to get close to that, Tesla would be looking at nearly a quarter of the total car market, a 35x increase from now...
  • NBLondon
    NBLondon Posts: 5,530 Forumite
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    AdrianC wrote: »
    ...and trucks outsell cars 2:1. Ford shift over 800,000 F150s
    I wonder how much if that is necessity and how much is image? Some Americans buy pick-ups because they need to carry significant amounts of stuff about- small tradespersons often use them the way European equivalents would use a small van. Some buy them as a cultural thing of "I'm a man who does manly things like hunting and home improvements and taking stuff to the dump and I need a V8 truck!" when it only gets used for any of that once a year or only ever to a third of it's capacity. So would they buy electric versions? I guess for the practical purchasers it's the same as a van maker over here - the questions are about payload, cost to run and so on and if you have a charge point. Range might be a bigger factor though - many American cities are much more sprawling than ours, a 50 mile each way daily commute is not that unusual so e.g. a self-employed plumber may do a lot more miles per day. In a rural area - even more so but as here - it could work out very effective with a solar panel set up and then charge overnight.

    As for the image guys - if you made something that looked tough enough and had the performance you could get away with a relatively poor payload. Or go for a smaller but sporty image - if you built a pick-up body on a Tesla 3 platform would that work? (I presume Tesla have thought of this)
    Wash your Knobs and Knockers... Keep the Postie safe!
  • Arklight
    Arklight Posts: 3,171 Forumite
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    Few truck driving Americans need the size of car they choose, and like their Range Rover driving cousins across the water, even fewer see anything remotely describable as off road.

    Open Pick up trucks aren!!!8217;t any more useful for a small business there than here. You can!!!8217;t lock tools in them safely or protect anything from the elements. If someone in an SME is driving a company pick up its probably the boss.

    Most people in the States just want something reliable and economical to get to work in. There!!!8217;s tonnes of available infrastructure for charging points. The global EV market will be driven from there.
  • NBLondon
    NBLondon Posts: 5,530 Forumite
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    Arklight wrote: »
    Open Pick up trucks aren!!!8217;t any more useful for a small business there than here. You can!!!8217;t lock tools in them safely or protect anything from the elements. If someone in an SME is driving a company pick up its probably the boss.
    Lockable tool chests in the back, tarpaulins. At least that's what my Texas joiner/carpenter pal does. Another pal of mine used to drive a company Ford Ranger to deliver car parts from wholesaler to garages and then go home in his Chevy Silverado. You're right - a panel van would be better for many so maybe it's an overlap with the image thing.

    Might be a city/country thing as well. City-based commuters want reliable, economical and comfortable until they get rich enough to go for prestige brands. Small town America (of which there's still an awful lot) will have a different driving profile.
    Wash your Knobs and Knockers... Keep the Postie safe!
  • almillar
    almillar Posts: 8,621 Forumite
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    (hearse)
    Hybrid'll do that, of course.
    Whilst carrying around a completely superfluouse ICE.
    You could run them down the same production line, one behind the other.
    Already happening, almost, in the Clio mk4/Zoe factory. Part of why Zoe is so cheap is that it was designed to run along the same production line as the Clio - I don't think they can literally do 1 car after another, Zoe was meant to use spare capacity in the factory, it may switch around daily/weekly/monthly.
  • Andy_L
    Andy_L Posts: 12,789 Forumite
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    NBLondon wrote: »
    I wonder how much if that is necessity and how much is image? Some Americans buy pick-ups because they need to carry significant amounts of stuff about- small tradespersons often use them the way European equivalents would use a small van. Some buy them as a cultural thing of "I'm a man who does manly things like hunting and home improvements and taking stuff to the dump and I need a V8 truck!" when it only gets used for any of that once a year or only ever to a third of it's capacity. So would they buy electric versions?

    ISTR reading that, in the USA, pick-up trucks are in a different classification to cars & so have to conform to lower thus be built to lower standards (safety, emissions, fuel economy etc) and are thus cheaper
  • RichardD1970
    RichardD1970 Posts: 3,795 Forumite
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    Martyn1981 wrote: »
    Yep, it's that design and development stage that seems to cost a fortune as ICE's and EV's are such different animals. Seems to take perhaps a decade to get there looking at Nissan and Tesla, since ICE experience doesn't appear to account for much.

    Well, JLR have done it a lot quicker than that. They were hardly a viable company 10 years ago and only started looking at an EV a couple of years ago.

    I know nothing about EVs. LOL, OK.

    There's no point discussing things with you as if it doesn't fit with your rampant Tesla fanboyism then you're not interested.

    You have shown a complete lack of knowledge with your arguments about floorpans being more complicated etc.

    At the end of the day, my original point that actually building an EV is no harder and building an ICE and in fact, in a lot of instances, easier, stands as FACT.
  • Martyn1981
    Martyn1981 Posts: 14,762 Forumite
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    AdrianC wrote: »
    Is there any reality which will impinge upon your rampant astroturfing for St Elon?

    You OK hun? You get so upset whenever some Tesla info is posted, calm down.

    [BTW please be more careful, I understand your need to attack anyone that thinks the Tesla cars are half decent, and your claims that such folk are 'fanboi's', but the claim of astroturfing suggests paid commentary, and I will of course report you if you continue along such a route, be it directed at me or others on here. M.]
    And you reckon that in the year from this month on, they can actually make a big dent in the US car market? Tesla has 0.7% of the car market this year to date...

    The top selling car last year was the Toyota Camry. From the article I posted you can see they are selling about 26,000 per month. Sales obviously will be down a tick due to the new arrival in the market.

    So could Tesla sell 300k M3's in the US over the next year, well that would be all of their 6,000 per week production which they aim to hit in August, so assuming they ramp higher, then possibly, maybe, perhaps, especially if the competition sell a little less.

    So, perhaps you need to calm down and have a think before you post nonsense.
    Ford shift over 800,000 F150s - to get close to that, Tesla would be looking at nearly a quarter of the total car market, a 35x increase from now...

    I think you are quoting Ford F series sales, not F150's which are about 500k pa. Again perhaps you should think before posting nonsense, and yes I do think the M3 could get close to that, even half that would be impressive, but it is a much harder target, and possibly one that will be better beaten by Tesla's proposed pickup which if it is even close to the suggested specs will eat Ford's lunch.
    Mart. Cardiff. 5.58 kWp PV systems (3.58 ESE & 2.0 WNW)

    For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
  • Martyn1981
    Martyn1981 Posts: 14,762 Forumite
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    Well, JLR have done it a lot quicker than that. They were hardly a viable company 10 years ago and only started looking at an EV a couple of years ago.

    I know nothing about EVs. LOL, OK.

    There's no point discussing things with you as if it doesn't fit with your rampant Tesla fanboyism then you're not interested.

    You have shown a complete lack of knowledge with your arguments about floorpans being more complicated etc.

    At the end of the day, my original point that actually building an EV is no harder and building an ICE and in fact, in a lot of instances, easier, stands as FACT.

    But reality still proves you wrong. As displayed by the Bolt and PSA's cry for protection from the more experienced EV producers. So you make all the claims that old companies can easily build ICE's but you are wrong. It's a claim many have made that the 'other' firms can just step into the EV world as and when they care, but reality shows that it takes a lot of time and specialism ...... but they'll get there eventually, or die, since the EV genie aint going back in the bottle.

    I see you too are going down the fanboi route, that seems to be the fall back whenever EV's and especially Tesla's are held up for doing well.

    BTW, Jaquar didn't start developing the I-Pace a couple of years ago, that was when they presented the concept at a motor show. And we are not talking about a specific EV model, but the time it appears to take a car company to get to grips with EV's in general and the battery development side too.

    Those still standing on the sidelines have a lot of catching up to do.
    Mart. Cardiff. 5.58 kWp PV systems (3.58 ESE & 2.0 WNW)

    For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
  • RichardD1970
    RichardD1970 Posts: 3,795 Forumite
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    No reality and the I-Pace prove YOU wrong. JLR have done what you claim is impossible.

    An old established ICE manufacturer who have, in the space of a few years (nowhere near the decade you guess at) designed, engineered and produced (admittedly via a third party but that is due to capacity constraints in the UK) a fully fledged Tesla worrying EV. With a newly designed, from the ground up EV/hybrid platform, for all their new models, due soon, once space is made at Solihull.

    To quote Dr. Wolfgang Ziebart (Jaguars Technical Design Director) with regards the I-Pace "from a clean sheet of paper to a customer car in four years" (Tesla have taken 15 years to reach where they are now ;))

    You really need to review what you write, stop contradicting yourself, stop banging on about GM (because it fits your narrative) and changing the point to fit your Tesla centric view. :rotfl:
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