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17.6 year stock market cycle


Has anybody read this guys book? If so is it worth reading?

Early retired in summer 2018 and loving it


  • BananaRepublic
    It is expensive for a rather short paperback. The extract on his web site is clearly written, not that I can judge the content.
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 23,551 Forumite
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    Looks cheap for a "a market roadmap stretching out to 2053". Think of all the money you'll make, knowing you always have "the right strategy for the prevailing stock market conditions". What could go wrong? :rotfl:
  • redux
    redux Posts: 22,976 Forumite
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    How about sunspots and the tidal effects of the moon?

    Oh no that's the weather.

    Just from the title and subtitle, I can see I might have trouble with the arithmetic.

    The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle

    Connecting the Panics of 1929, 1987, 2000 and 2007
  • dunstonh
    dunstonh Posts: 116,707 Forumite
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    8 financial crisis since 1956. Occurring on average once every 7 years.

    Economic cycles have moved from around 7 years to 10 years.

    USA is no longer an emerging economy (so anything pre 2000 can largely be disregarded). Economies and markets are global now rather than local.

    So, go ahead and predict as much as you like. You will almost certainly be wrong. However, if you can write a book about it and find mugs to buy the book then you can make a nice living that way.
    I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.
  • lvader
    lvader Posts: 2,579 Forumite
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    redux wrote: »

    Connecting the Panics of 1929, 1987, 2000 and 2007

    Those look like corrections when you look at the historical charts, they are dwarfed by the big bull cycles.
  • redux
    redux Posts: 22,976 Forumite
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    I like this chapter title

    Part V: Bear Market 2000 to 2018
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