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  • paddyrg
    paddyrg Posts: 13,543 Forumite
    Satoshi wrote: »
    OK sorry the only fiat currencies that have not gone to nothing are the current ones still in use today. But they are guaranteed to be worthless in the future.

    I see what you're trying to say, but I think the logic is possibly flawed. We can point at the Zimbabwe Dollar for a great example of an (I assume at least) fiat currency going off the rails, but on the other hand Roman silver coins (how's that for non-fiat?) are no longer valid currency either.

    And 'the future' is a long time, by which time computers will have returned to sand, civilisations crumbled, bigger problems arisen so every currency (backed or unbacked) is shafted. Seeing as Sterling dates back to the 700's AD it's also pretty time-proof, doesn't mean it'll last forever but neither does it mean it'll necessarily vanish in our lifetimes, apocalypse excepted.
  • JohnRo
    JohnRo Posts: 2,887 Forumite
    First Anniversary Combo Breaker First Post
    paddyrg wrote: »
    Seeing as Sterling dates back to the 700's AD it's also pretty time-proof

    The word maybe, it has nothing to do with the paper tickets used today though.
    'We don't need to be smarter than the rest; we need to be more disciplined than the rest.' - WB
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,035 Forumite
    First Post Photogenic Combo Breaker First Anniversary
    edited 23 November 2013 at 2:30PM
    Gold vs BTC
    London is the centre of the gold market, with some 175m ounces, worth $220bn at today’s prices, changing hands daily on the over-the-counter trade
    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c18f828e-5392-11e3-9250-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2lTSSKC7K

    nvBfcDe.png
    http://pricedingold.com/bitcoin/

    Come back when gold rises for 6 months or more, very unequal now
    csm888 wrote: »
    If we use silver backed currency doesnt this mean silver will be greatly in demand, therefore the price will go up, and everything that uses silver in industry will become astronomically expensive?


    Price is never a problem. The big point here to have a fixed ratio for money, right now we have inflation and QE so nobody knows what it'll be worth next year.
    A fixed amount of metal even if it was one hundredeth of a gram, thats what matters. The actual prices, dont worry about it. You dont care about collecting metal, a normal citizen just wants to earn money and buy food, the rest is just logistics
  • Satoshi
    Satoshi Posts: 253 Forumite
    paddyrg wrote: »
    I see what you're trying to say, but I think the logic is possibly flawed. We can point at the Zimbabwe Dollar for a great example of an (I assume at least) fiat currency going off the rails, but on the other hand Roman silver coins (how's that for non-fiat?) are no longer valid currency either.

    And 'the future' is a long time, by which time computers will have returned to sand, civilisations crumbled, bigger problems arisen so every currency (backed or unbacked) is shafted. Seeing as Sterling dates back to the 700's AD it's also pretty time-proof, doesn't mean it'll last forever but neither does it mean it'll necessarily vanish in our lifetimes, apocalypse excepted.

    But the Roman silver coins never went to nothing, if you found one it would have buying power now, you would have to sell it for fiat first but it never goes to nothing, and will still have value in thousand years time.
  • paddyrg
    paddyrg Posts: 13,543 Forumite
    JohnRo wrote: »
    The word maybe, it has nothing to do with the paper tickets used today though.

    Sure the Pound has evolved from being the value of a pound of silver via being gold-backed to being fiat, but that is an evolution. It was still used as a currency throughout, and that's what the post I was responding to was about.
  • Satoshi
    Satoshi Posts: 253 Forumite
    paddyrg wrote: »
    Sure the Pound has evolved from being the value of a pound of silver via being gold-backed to being fiat, but that is an evolution. It was still used as a currency throughout, and that's what the post I was responding to was about.

    If it was backed by something then it has intrinsic value and cant go to nothing, since 1971 it has intrinsic value of nothing and everything always returns to its intrinsic value in the end.
  • Satoshi wrote: »
    But the Roman silver coins never went to nothing,

    Unfortunately the romans are an example of why current policies are wrong because they did similar to us
    He then went further by proceeding to debase the coinage. The basic coinage of the Roman Empire to this time — we're speaking now about 211 AD — was the silver denarius introduced by Augustus at about 95 percent silver at the end of the 1st century BC. The denarius continued for the better part of two centuries as the basic medium of exchange in the empire.

    By the time of Trajan in 117 AD, the denarius was only about 85 percent silver, down from Augustus's 95 percent. By the age of Marcus Aurelius, in 180, it was down to about 75 percent silver. In Septimius's time it had dropped to 60 percent, and Caracalla evened it off at 50/50.

    Caracalla was assassinated in 217. There then followed an age that historians refer to as the Age of the Barrack Emperors, because throughout the 3rd century all the emperors were soldiers and all of them came to their power by military coups of one sort or another.

    There were about 26 legitimate emperors in this century and only one of them died a natural death. The rest either died in battle or were assassinated, which was totally unprecedented in Roman history — with two exceptions: Nero, a suicide, and Caligula, assassinated earlier.

    Caracalla had also debased the gold coinage. Under Augustus this circulated at 45 coins to a pound of gold. Caracalla made it 50 to a pound of gold. Within 20 years after him it was circulating at 72 to a pound of gold, reduced to 60 at the end of the century by Diocletian, only to be raised again to 72 by Constantine. So even the gold coinage was in fact inflated — debased.

    But the real crisis came after Caracalla, between 258 and 275, in a period of intense civil war and foreign invasions. The emperors simply abandoned, for all practical purposes, a silver coinage. By 268 there was only 0.5 percent silver in the denarius.

    Prices in this period rose in most parts of the empire by nearly 1,000 percent.
    The only people who were getting paid in gold were the barbarian troops hired by the emperors. The barbarians were so barbarous that they would only accept gold in payment for their services.
    http://mises.org/daily/3663
  • Satoshi wrote: »
    If it was backed by something then it has intrinsic value and cant go to nothing, since 1971 it has intrinsic value of nothing and everything always returns to its intrinsic value in the end.

    can't the value of gold and silver go to nothing if we discover a new element with all of their properties and more on another planet in the not too distant future? Seems unlikely, but it's possible, if that were to happen what value would gold have? Would it still have value because it could be used?
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,035 Forumite
    First Post Photogenic Combo Breaker First Anniversary
    edited 23 November 2013 at 4:23PM
    The failure of an element to stay unique or the possibility of governments to corrupt an economy

    One hasnt happened in history yet and the other is a annual occurrence somewhere in the world.
    Gold is fairly useless, one argument used is that without inflation people would just store currency waiting for prices to drop. That would mean people spend their lives not buying useful items in order to die holding a useless yellow metal - being replaced by another element in that pointless pursuit is not much of a worry

    http://www.demotix.com/news/3206017/venezuela-maduro-sends-troops-major-retail-chain-control-prices
    http://www.aljazeera.com/news/americas/2013/11/venezuela-troops-seize-shops-over-high-prices-201311105052572435.html
  • Satoshi
    Satoshi Posts: 253 Forumite
    can't the value of gold and silver go to nothing if we discover a new element with all of their properties and more on another planet in the not too distant future? Seems unlikely, but it's possible, if that were to happen what value would gold have? Would it still have value because it could be used?

    True but thats not enough of a reason for me to stop stacking silver.

    Alchemy has been the holy grail for thousands of years, if they could ever make gold and silver the way they can make diamonds then they could fall in value.

    But look at diamonds they can be made but the value did not fall that much if at all. So even if they could make gold and silver artificially it would not kill the value of real gold and silver.
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