Referendum: which way are you voting?

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  • x12yhp
    x12yhp Posts: 801 Forumite
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    It's all going like a sensible analyst would have predicted. Unless you believe the daily mail.
    Always overestimating...
  • qwert_yuiop
    qwert_yuiop Posts: 3,615 Forumite
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    I'd say there's a fair possibility this isn't going to happen at all. What if March comes and everything is so disrupted they stall and hold another referendum?
    “What means that trump?” Timon of Athens by William Shakespeare
  • tara747
    tara747 Posts: 10,238 Forumite
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    Remain
    Maybe it'll all be called off, but there's also an argument for saying "let them have their hard Brexit and see how they like it".


    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/janan-ganesh-why-britain-must-have-a-hard-brexit-1.2824478


    Thoughts?
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  • qwert_yuiop
    qwert_yuiop Posts: 3,615 Forumite
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    A Dutch man writing in today's guardian claims all the other EU states are dedicated to making the union work. A couple of lines later he declares that Britain must be seen to have made a serious mistake, so that other countries will be discouraged from leaving. Make your mind up, man.

    It seems ports down south are willing to act as the uk's effective frontier by checking foreign arrivals. This is supposedly to ensure a continued open border here. All right, but what about tariffs on cross border trade? Smuggling may be the new business opportunity of 2019.

    Is there a likelihood that Brexit is just not feasible?

    You know, you'd almost think very little of this has been properly thought through.
    “What means that trump?” Timon of Athens by William Shakespeare
  • donnac2558
    donnac2558 Posts: 3,610 Forumite
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    Well Tesco have gone to war with Unilever over the price of Marmite because of Brexit.

    Yes, as I said we are doomed. Riots will start over the Marmite Outrage.:D

    Sterling is dropping like a stone so of course imposted goods will cost more.
  • tara747
    tara747 Posts: 10,238 Forumite
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    Remain
    A Dutch man writing in today's guardian claims all the other EU states are dedicated to making the union work. A couple of lines later he declares that Britain must be seen to have made a serious mistake, so that other countries will be discouraged from leaving. Make your mind up, man.

    It seems ports down south are willing to act as the uk's effective frontier by checking foreign arrivals. This is supposedly to ensure a continued open border here. All right, but what about tariffs on cross border trade? Smuggling may be the new business opportunity of 2019.

    Is there a likelihood that Brexit is just not feasible?

    You know, you'd almost think very little of this has been properly thought through.


    It's not clear that the Irish govt is willing to do that, nor that the Irish people would be happy about it! Some have suggested that it's unconstitutional.

    donnac2558 wrote: »
    Well Tesco have gone to war with Unilever over the price of Marmite because of Brexit.

    Yes, as I said we are doomed. Riots will start over the Marmite Outrage.:D

    Sterling is dropping like a stone so of course imposted goods will cost more.


    Yep, inflation is coming and of course people will be hopping mad when prices start to rise...
    Get to 119lbs! 1/2/09: 135.6lbs 1/5/11: 145.8lbs 30/3/13 150lbs 22/2/14 137lbs 2/6/14 128lbs 29/8/14 124lbs 2/6/17 126lbs
    Save £180,000 by 31 Dec 2020! 2011: £54,342 * 2012: £62,200 * 2013: £74,127 * 2014: £84,839 * 2015: £95,207 * 2016: £109,122 * 2017: £121,733 * 2018: £136,565 * 2019: £161,957 * 2020: £197,685
    eBay sales - £4,559.89 Cashback - £2,309.73
  • qwert_yuiop
    qwert_yuiop Posts: 3,615 Forumite
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    Would Britain be able to maintain a special relationship with the Republic of Ireland after Brexit ? How could one eu member state have privileges that others don't? British law does not consider the state to be foreign. How terribly racist. Would Brussels be able to prevent Dublin from making exclusive deals with London? It's all up in the air. Apparently the common travel arrangement was suspended from 1939 to 1952, but that was admittedly a very strange time.
    “What means that trump?” Timon of Athens by William Shakespeare
  • qwert_yuiop
    qwert_yuiop Posts: 3,615 Forumite
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    tara747 wrote: »

    Yep, inflation is coming and of course people will be hopping mad when prices start to rise...


    If it's a one off readjustment in the pound it'll be a one off inflationary pulse. It's hit petrol already. If the pound stays at the new level, that'll be it.

    Now, I wonder what all this upset is doing to the housing market. Any expert opinions available?
    “What means that trump?” Timon of Athens by William Shakespeare
  • donnac2558
    donnac2558 Posts: 3,610 Forumite
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    I watch the RTE News, it seems they are interested in companies wishing to leave the UK after Brexit coming to the Republic.
  • tara747
    tara747 Posts: 10,238 Forumite
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    Remain
    If it's a one off readjustment in the pound it'll be a one off inflationary pulse. It's hit petrol already. If the pound stays at the new level, that'll be it.

    Now, I wonder what all this upset is doing to the housing market. Any expert opinions available?


    A one-off adjustment of about 20%? :eek: And that's assuming that the pound doesn't fall further?

    Would Britain be able to maintain a special relationship with the Republic of Ireland after Brexit ? How could one eu member state have privileges that others don't? British law does not consider the state to be foreign. How terribly racist. Would Brussels be able to prevent Dublin from making exclusive deals with London? It's all up in the air. Apparently the common travel arrangement was suspended from 1939 to 1952, but that was admittedly a very strange time.



    Those are very good questions, to which I don't have an answer.


    donnac2558 wrote: »
    I watch the RTE News, it seems they are interested in companies wishing to leave the UK after Brexit coming to the Republic.


    Yes, I'm sure they are. Ireland will be the only English-speaking country left in the EU.


    Meanwhile, in NI... http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/news/fujitsu-belfast-and-derry-jobs-at-risk-in-1800-job-cuts-35122532.html
    Get to 119lbs! 1/2/09: 135.6lbs 1/5/11: 145.8lbs 30/3/13 150lbs 22/2/14 137lbs 2/6/14 128lbs 29/8/14 124lbs 2/6/17 126lbs
    Save £180,000 by 31 Dec 2020! 2011: £54,342 * 2012: £62,200 * 2013: £74,127 * 2014: £84,839 * 2015: £95,207 * 2016: £109,122 * 2017: £121,733 * 2018: £136,565 * 2019: £161,957 * 2020: £197,685
    eBay sales - £4,559.89 Cashback - £2,309.73
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