Does anyone here have an ideological objection to Solar?

1568101136

Comments

  • zeupater
    zeupater Posts: 5,354 Forumite
    First Anniversary Name Dropper First Post Combo Breaker
    edited 3 December 2012 at 11:25PM
    Cardew wrote: »
    Z

    Sorry but i don't agree with you.

    IMO the question of distribution losses is peripheral to the thrust of my argument.

    Rather than get embroiled in discussions on that aspect, to the detriment of the major issues, I will readily concede that solar farms at 'point of use' is the preferred option.

    P.S.

    Anyone would think that 'The South West' was Outer Mongolia and not contain cities like Plymouth and Bristol; as well as the Nuclear power station at Hinkley Point.(with a further two reactors planned)

    Incidentally Dounreay Nuclear facility is as far North in Scotland as possible and a further two in North Wales/Anglesey - which are hardly near their 'point of use'.
    [/INDENT]
    Hi

    As previously discussed, the most likely area for siting vast pv farms in the SW would be the Lizard peninsula ....

    Considering that to make a significant difference to farmscale pv in the UK, multi-GW peak generation needs to be considered, which probably represents the equivalent of at least a pair of nuclear reactors on one site....

    Helston - Plymouth (pop 260000) ~79miles
    Helston - Bristol (pop 428000) ~184miles
    Helston - Bridgwater (Hinkley Point - possible/likely end node for a major upgrade to HV) ~147miles
    Holyhead(Anglesey) - Liverpool (pop 470000) ~100miles
    Trawsfynydd - Closed 20 years ago (NW or Midlands ~100miles)
    Dounreay was a reasearch reactor centre, the site chosen due to it's remoteness incase of accident .... the largest reactor was the prototype MOX fueled 250MW reactor, which again was closed arount 20years ago .....

    Leaving aside the period that has expired between the closure of a number of the mentioned power stations, at least they would have had existing infrastructure to deliver the energy ... unlike the SW. Plymouth would be the first (/last) significant population centre in the SW and that's around 80 miles from where the panels would be, therefore demand within this part of the SW would be significantly less than the capacity of the pv generation, thus requiring significant infrastructure upgrade (/cost) ....

    Infrastructure cost is paid for by the electricity consumer, it therefore has exactly the same effect on consumer bills as the subsidy on pv, both being paid for in the same way, both subject to legislation and paid by charge/levy .... FiTs on the one hand and Transmission charges on the other (http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/meeting_energy/network/deliv_access/deliv_access.aspx) ... simply extending the infrastructure to accommodate a massive concentration of pv farms would add to bills in the same way as FiTs do, therefore if there is an argument against FiTs, then there's exactly the same argument against extending the grid in order to gain a marginal additional kWh/kWp ...

    I'm pretty sure that the last time we discussed this a calculation was made to gauge the relative benefit of point-of-use generation in the Midlands vs the transmission and distribution losses for the higher insolation for energy originating in the SW, the resultant was, from memory, a considerably reduced advantage for the farmscale generation in the SW.

    So, having conceeded that distribution losses are "peripheral to the thrust of my argument" can this be the last time we see automatic reference to 'the SW' hand-in-hand with farmscale pv ? .... whatever the answer, there still seems to be a general disagreement with the logic which was presented, therefore there must simply be disagreement with the premise that extenting the grid is paid for by the energy consumer, because that's the only point which was raised which was not conceded ....

    Is it just me, or are there others which find it hard to follow anti-logic sometimes applied on these threads ? .... how can a minor point be conceded then the concession position immediately qualified, therefore effectively withdrawing the concession, whilst effectively not addressing the main point raised, that being distribution infrastructure cost, not distribution efficiency losses ? ....

    HTH
    Z
    "We are what we repeatedly do, excellence then is not an act, but a habit. " ...... Aristotle
    B)
  • We have run some numbers recently, thought you guys might be interested:

    At current prices and assuming a 15p energy import cost (I know some of you won't even allow this assumption but it is about what most people we speak to in the real world pay) If you can use all the energy generated from a 4kW system you'd have a payback sub 10 years.

    We think that's pretty impressive relative to where things were only 12 months ago. What this means is that grid parity is closer than many think, and when we get there will be no more FiT. This could happen by the time you lot finish arguing!
  • Cardew
    Cardew Posts: 29,036 Forumite
    Name Dropper First Anniversary First Post Rampant Recycler
    zeupater wrote: »
    Hi

    As previously discussed, the most likely area for siting vast pv farms in the SW would be the Lizard peninsula ....

    Considering that to make a significant difference to farmscale pv in the UK, multi-GW peak generation needs to be considered, which probably represents the equivalent of at least a pair of nuclear reactors on one site....

    Helston - Plymouth (pop 260000) ~79miles
    Helston - Bristol (pop 428000) ~184miles
    Helston - Bridgwater (Hinkley Point - possible/likely end node for a major upgrade to HV) ~147miles
    Holyhead(Anglesey) - Liverpool (pop 470000) ~100miles
    Trawsfynydd - Closed 20 years ago (NW or Midlands ~100miles)
    Dounreay was a reasearch reactor centre, the site chosen due to it's remoteness incase of accident .... the largest reactor was the prototype MOX fueled 250MW reactor, which again was closed arount 20years ago .....

    Leaving aside the period that has expired between the closure of a number of the mentioned power stations, at least they would have had existing infrastructure to deliver the energy ... unlike the SW. Plymouth would be the first (/last) significant population centre in the SW and that's around 80 miles from where the panels would be, therefore demand within this part of the SW would be significantly less than the capacity of the pv generation, thus requiring significant infrastructure upgrade (/cost) ....

    Infrastructure cost is paid for by the electricity consumer, it therefore has exactly the same effect on consumer bills as the subsidy on pv, both being paid for in the same way, both subject to legislation and paid by charge/levy .... FiTs on the one hand and Transmission charges on the other (http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/meeting_energy/network/deliv_access/deliv_access.aspx) ... simply extending the infrastructure to accommodate a massive concentration of pv farms would add to bills in the same way as FiTs do, therefore if there is an argument against FiTs, then there's exactly the same argument against extending the grid in order to gain a marginal additional kWh/kWp ...

    I'm pretty sure that the last time we discussed this a calculation was made to gauge the relative benefit of point-of-use generation in the Midlands vs the transmission and distribution losses for the higher insolation for energy originating in the SW, the resultant was, from memory, a considerably reduced advantage for the farmscale generation in the SW.

    So, having conceeded that distribution losses are "peripheral to the thrust of my argument" can this be the last time we see automatic reference to 'the SW' hand-in-hand with farmscale pv ? .... whatever the answer, there still seems to be a general disagreement with the logic which was presented, therefore there must simply be disagreement with the premise that extenting the grid is paid for by the energy consumer, because that's the only point which was raised which was not conceded ....

    Is it just me, or are there others which find it hard to follow anti-logic sometimes applied on these threads ? .... how can a minor point be conceded then the concession position immediately qualified, therefore effectively withdrawing the concession, whilst effectively not addressing the main point raised, that being distribution infrastructure cost, not distribution efficiency losses ? ....

    HTH
    Z
    Come on Z you can do better than this!

    Why the Lizzard? Previously discussed - who by? Might suit your theory but not something I have suggested.

    Who said multi-GW installations?

    Why not on the outskirts of Plymouth or Bristol? Remember fields with panels on frames so cattle etc can graze underneath.

    You cannot seriously be suggesting that silly little sub 4kWp systems on houses dotted all over UK justify the huge subsidies solely on 'transmission losses'

    You know full well that it is a red herring and that you are mischieviously attempting to justify a nonsense FIT scheme on a throw-away remark like 'preferably in the South west.
  • Kernel_Sanders
    Kernel_Sanders Posts: 3,617 Forumite
    First Anniversary First Post Combo Breaker
    edited 4 December 2012 at 1:55AM
    Martyn1981 wrote: »
    Consuming generating units instead of importing units has exactly the same effect on the grid as exporting units, then re-importing, as Myself (and Zeupater) have explained numerous times.
    But consuming more of them for heating (as I am) instead of gas, does not. As explained here...
    rogerblack wrote: »
    The FIT is paid with the aim of reducing CO2 emissions.
    If the houseowner feeds 1kWh into the grid, they effectively remove the need to burn 3kWh or so of gas at the power station (and burn 1kWh of gas locally)
    If they use that power locally, to replace gas, they are reducing their gas usage, true, but only by 1kWh.
    Cardew wrote: »
    You cannot seriously be suggesting that silly little sub 4kWp systems on houses dotted all over UK justify the huge subsidies solely on 'transmission losses'
    I think my 'silly little 3.92kWp system' is producing at least as much electricity for use in Mansfield as it would if part of a huge, unsightly sea of panels in the SW, and then sent nearly 300 miles. Surely your argument is that only export should attract FiTs, so why the contempt for microgeneration?
    Cardew wrote: »
    Remember fields with panels on frames so cattle etc can graze underneath.
    Best not push this point lest you have people querying how lush the new grass will be when growing in permanent shade :)
  • Martyn1981
    Martyn1981 Posts: 14,742 Forumite
    Name Dropper Photogenic First Anniversary First Post
    edited 4 December 2012 at 8:44AM
    But consuming more of them for heating (as I am) instead of gas, does not. As explained here...

    Hiya Kernel, I totally agree, and have explained that point previously here:
    Martyn1981 wrote: »
    Roger I agree with everything you say there,

    It is Cardew's math trick that I object too, where he has for years claimed that a unit generated and consumed (as per normal) does not benefit the grid - ignoring the fact that, that unit displaces a unit of import. Lately he has begun to sneak in the 'additional' consumption argument such as Immersun's, in what I believe is an attempt to confuse the issue and avoid admitting his long standing error.

    I attempted to head-off that move here:
    Martyn1981 wrote: »
    PS, I note your reference to export, now includes water heating, does this subtle revision finally mean you realised your mathematical/accounting error, in claiming that panels on roofs don't have the same net effect on the grid as panels in a field?


    Also regarding this bit:
    Best not push this point lest you have people querying how lush the new grass will be when growing in permanent shade :)

    Whilst such issues may arise, that is not actually the important bit. Use of land is not free, even if you own it, as it carries an 'opportunity cost'.

    When considering the total costs of farm v's domestic PV you have to include land costs. If you rent the land, then that bit is easy and obvious. If you own the land it is less obvious, but the opportunity cost will be the lost rent you could receive, or alternatively the interest income on the money if you sold the land.

    These costs (plus others) will negate most install savings from building bigger.

    Strangely, Cardew seems happy to apply opportunity costs to domestic installs, when he reminds people to deduct the lost interest on the money that they spend!

    I should point out again, just in case, that I've nothing whatsoever against PV farms, I'm simply trying to point out that over 25 years they are not necessarily any cheaper than domestic. Roof mounted commercial, 20kWp+, now that's another matter all together .....

    Mart.
    Mart. Cardiff. 5.58 kWp PV systems (3.58 ESE & 2.0 WNW)

    For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
  • Martyn1981
    Martyn1981 Posts: 14,742 Forumite
    Name Dropper Photogenic First Anniversary First Post
    edited 4 December 2012 at 8:48AM
    Energetic wrote: »
    We have run some numbers recently, thought you guys might be interested:

    At current prices and assuming a 15p energy import cost (I know some of you won't even allow this assumption but it is about what most people we speak to in the real world pay) If you can use all the energy generated from a 4kW system you'd have a payback sub 10 years.

    We think that's pretty impressive relative to where things were only 12 months ago. What this means is that grid parity is closer than many think, and when we get there will be no more FiT. This could happen by the time you lot finish arguing!

    Hiya, I posted similar a year ago, with a 5's argument:

    15p import
    5p export
    £5k install
    50% consumption
    5 years away.

    Based on south facing, southern UK based install. 4 years to go and we are pretty close on all of those numbers. Shows how little I know!

    Mart.

    PS I managed to cut and paste the EST 'leak' last year, before it was deleted. Rang em the next day to ask if it was true, and they said it wasn't on their web-site, and couldn't discuss it!!!! M.
    Mart. Cardiff. 5.58 kWp PV systems (3.58 ESE & 2.0 WNW)

    For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
  • Cardew
    Cardew Posts: 29,036 Forumite
    Name Dropper First Anniversary First Post Rampant Recycler
    Martyn1981 wrote: »

    It is Cardew's math trick that I object too, where he has for years claimed that a unit generated and consumed (as per normal) does not benefit the grid - ignoring the fact that, that unit displaces a unit of import. Lately he has begun to sneak in the 'additional' consumption argument such as Immersun's, in what I believe is an attempt to confuse the issue and avoid admitting his long standing error.



    One of the many figments of your imagination, or misunderstanding of posts- mine or Graham's.

    Perhaps you can show me where I have made such a claim!

    This is typical of your Modus operandi - you make a statement and attribute it to me(or an 'opponent') repeat and repeat the statement until it becomes your reality.

    What has been stated is that solar or wind generation does not reduce the UK's 'conventional' generating capacity by a single watt. The peak load on the grid is on a winter's evening when solar is contributing zilch and the wind might not be blowing!

    As you full well know my 'target' is the FIT that pays a huge subsidy to little systems on roofs, and then allows the occupants to use all that generation and export, in theory, nothing.

    In my potato analogy(that you like so much) if we paid a huge subsidy for home owners to grow spuds in their garden, and then allowed them to eat the whole crop, and export nothing, we would have followed the solar PV FIT model!
  • Cardew
    Cardew Posts: 29,036 Forumite
    Name Dropper First Anniversary First Post Rampant Recycler
    edited 4 December 2012 at 10:59AM
    But consuming more of them for heating (as I am) instead of gas, does not. As explained here...



    I think my 'silly little 3.92kWp system' is producing at least as much electricity for use in Mansfield as it would if part of a huge, unsightly sea of panels in the SW, and then sent nearly 300 miles. Surely your argument is that only export should attract FiTs, so why the contempt for microgeneration?

    Best not push this point lest you have people querying how lush the new grass will be when growing in permanent shade :)

    There is no 'contempt' for microgeneration - just the system of subsidy(FIT)

    Large solar farms have, and are, been constructed to allow cattle etc to graze underneath(and crops grown?) -presumably the grass is not in permanant shade! From another post on MSE:
    A large photovoltaic power project, the Serpa solar power plant, has
    been completed in Portugal, in one of the Europe's sunniest areas.[1] The 11 megawatt plant covers 150 acres (0.61 km2) and comprises 52,000 PV panels. The panels are raised 2 metres off the ground and the area will remain productive grazing land.
  • rogerblack
    rogerblack Posts: 9,446 Forumite
    edited 5 December 2012 at 2:46PM
    Cardew wrote: »
    There is no 'contempt' for microgeneration - just the system of subsidy(FIT)

    Large solar farms have, and are, been constructed to allow cattle etc to graze underneath(and crops grown?) -presumably the grass is not in permanant shade! From another post on MSE:

    The array you mention - in portugal - is perhaps too sunny for grass to grow well.
    Solar panels in that location may actually improve grass production, due to the shade meaning the grass is less stressed, and reducing daytime evaporation.
    I question that this will be the case in the UK.
  • Martyn1981
    Martyn1981 Posts: 14,742 Forumite
    Name Dropper Photogenic First Anniversary First Post
    Cardew wrote: »
    One of the many figments of your imagination, or misunderstanding of posts- mine or Graham's.

    Perhaps you can show me where I have made such a claim!

    This is typical of your Modus operandi - you make a statement and attribute it to me(or an 'opponent') repeat and repeat the statement until it becomes your reality.

    Are you now dropping your claims that subsidy payers get more leccy (or potatoes) for their money, from export rather than reduced import?

    If so why did you recently spend a solid week arguing with me (and Zeup) on the Solar Panel Guide Discussion thread?

    To refresh your memory, you argue that having a PV farm subsidy that is half the domestic gives a 2:1 increase in PV for FIT. You then increased that figure to 3:1 by pointing out that not all domestic generation is exported (a lot is used to offset import).

    Recent potato version:
    Cardew wrote: »
    Taking my potatoe analogy further.

    We pay Farmer A a subsidy of, say, £50 a ton to produce potatoes and we get his whole crop.

    We pay Farmer B £100 a ton to produce potatoes. Now if we got his whole crop the the potatoes would cost us twice as much - or 2:1

    However Farmer B can use as many potatoes - for which he has received a subsidy - as he wishes; in theory he could use all the potatoes and we would have none for our subsidy.

    If he used 50% of all the potatoes for his own use, that means that we are paying a subsidy of £200 (or four times as much) for each ton of his crop we get or 4:1

    If he used only one third of the potatoes 'in-house' then the figure would be 3:1

    If you can't understand that - I give up!


    Do you now agree that:

    a. if a farmer grows a potato, then takes that potato to the market and places it on the shelf, or

    b. a householder grows a potato, then eats the potato, negating their need to remove a potato from the market shelf, that

    in both cases the market has one more potato on the shelf than it would have had without the farm/domestic potato.

    If you do agree, then you need to accept that domestic or farm PV provide the grid / subsidy payers with exactly the same amount of leccy.

    Now if you want to move on to additional consumption by householders that did not take place prior to PV install, that's fine, but it is a separate argument.

    Mart.

    PS. If this has now been put to bed, will you finally explain why you kept claiming a 2:1 differential between farm and domestic PV subsidies, when the true differential was 'only' 1.3:1.
    Mart. Cardiff. 5.58 kWp PV systems (3.58 ESE & 2.0 WNW)

    For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
This discussion has been closed.
Meet your Ambassadors

Categories

  • All Categories
  • 343K Banking & Borrowing
  • 250K Reduce Debt & Boost Income
  • 449.6K Spending & Discounts
  • 235.1K Work, Benefits & Business
  • 607.7K Mortgages, Homes & Bills
  • 173K Life & Family
  • 247.7K Travel & Transport
  • 1.5M Hobbies & Leisure
  • 15.9K Discuss & Feedback
  • 15.1K Coronavirus Support Boards